midterms-discussions

Discord ID: 399676530394923010


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2018-01-17 05:03:21 UTC

GOP turnout is down, dem turnout is up, that's a big part.

2018-01-17 05:03:37 UTC

There's gotta be a way to re-galvanize support

2018-01-17 05:04:58 UTC

results:

2018-01-17 05:05:06 UTC

stop typing I'm posting results

2018-01-17 05:05:18 UTC

WI SD10 2016:
Republican: 56496 (63.22%)
Democrat: 32863 (36.78%)
Total: 89359

WI SD10 2018:
Republican: 9908 (44.16%) (17.5% of 2016)
Democrat: 12250 (54.59%) (37.3% of 2016)
Other: 280 (1.25%)
Total: 22438 (25.1% of 2016)

2018-01-17 05:06:30 UTC

Not sure how Trump and the RNC are spending their political capital, whether they're saving it for the midterm day itself or something, but there should 100% be a plan under wraps for them.

2018-01-17 05:07:07 UTC

One thing I know, money doesn't win elections on its own.

2018-01-17 05:07:15 UTC

This isn't that hard

2018-01-17 05:07:26 UTC

if the GOP made phone calls to their voters,

2018-01-17 05:07:33 UTC

this wouldn't be a problem

2018-01-17 05:08:11 UTC

If only the government was capable of anything competent

2018-01-17 05:08:42 UTC

There absolutely should be a strategy for at least Trump

2018-01-17 05:09:00 UTC

I just don't think he's doing nothing about this

2018-01-17 05:09:21 UTC

I'm just not sure what it is if he does

2018-01-17 05:10:41 UTC

HOLY FUCK

2018-01-17 05:10:49 UTC

LOOK AT THIS SHIFT

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/403053526940516363/SHIFT_2018.jpg

2018-01-17 05:10:53 UTC

I tell you what, I'd be panicked if we had the midterms tomorrow with this type of political environment.

2018-01-17 05:11:21 UTC

This is extremely concerning

2018-01-17 05:11:27 UTC

+21.49% average Dem shift only **today**

2018-01-17 05:11:51 UTC

Something's gotta change in the environment, that's the thing

2018-01-17 05:11:59 UTC

SC, WI, IA are supposed to be Trump states, remember

2018-01-17 05:12:34 UTC

Yeah, there's just gotta be a way

2018-01-17 05:13:30 UTC

I'm gonna need a drink, this is too much for one night...

2018-01-17 05:13:38 UTC

Politics is a changing course, it doesn't stay the same, I'm just not sure this momentum could be kept up.

2018-01-17 05:14:31 UTC

It should be changed, I tell you, if I were Trump, I'd have justice as a main focus, I'll be honest, if there's any way to salvage this season, it's going to be through high profile arrests.

2018-01-17 05:14:48 UTC

That's what energizes people.

2018-01-17 05:15:22 UTC

I'd be down campaigning for candidates directly, Trump himself is a much more valuable physical political asset than all the money the RNC has.

2018-01-17 05:15:36 UTC

Not tweets, rallies.

2018-01-17 05:15:51 UTC

I seriously don't understand,

2018-01-17 05:16:14 UTC

The last thing that should be on Trump's mind or anyone in the RNC is to remain on this course

2018-01-17 05:16:15 UTC

About 60,000 voters didn't show up tonight

2018-01-17 05:16:32 UTC

why the hell did they stay home?

2018-01-17 05:16:38 UTC

Not an election day

2018-01-17 05:16:51 UTC

but they showed up in 2016

2018-01-17 05:17:05 UTC

was it nov. 8 2016 or a random day

2018-01-17 05:17:14 UTC

lemme check

2018-01-17 05:17:46 UTC

Nov 6

2018-01-17 05:17:52 UTC

*8

2018-01-17 05:17:55 UTC

but still

2018-01-17 05:18:00 UTC

It makes sense

2018-01-17 05:18:37 UTC

If you have the ballot sheet down the line when you're voting for president, you'll vote for senators, congressmen, and state legislature

2018-01-17 05:19:09 UTC

A lot of people aren't thinking politics and voting on some random day in January

2018-01-17 05:19:45 UTC

Clearly less of the Rs are coming out than dems, which is a major issue.

2018-01-17 05:20:21 UTC

Not sure whether it's demotivation, or energy from the left, or both, but it's an issue.

2018-01-17 05:21:20 UTC

We've gotta have some sort of major event happen

2018-01-17 05:22:18 UTC

Trump better have something major up his sleeve to be able to turn this around, because the issues aren't going to cut it. "the economy" isn't going to be winning the GOP any elections any time soon, sad to say.

2018-01-17 05:24:13 UTC

As for the moment, though, doesn't look good.

2018-01-17 05:25:21 UTC

a 'trump card' is really what I'm crossing my fingers for, there's gotta be a good plan other than business as usual.

2018-01-17 05:25:56 UTC

if the midterms were held today, we'd be destroyed, that I can say

2018-01-17 05:26:02 UTC

Agreed

2018-01-17 05:27:11 UTC

Let's find a way to change the course somehow, theorize, strategize or whatever, but let's do that later, it's the middle of the night and I'm gonna hit the bed.

2018-01-17 05:27:31 UTC

This reminds of 2017 too,

2018-01-17 05:27:38 UTC

Look at Virginia last year. Yes, it's a purple state but going into the election Republicans controlled 66 of 100 seats in their legislature. They lost 15 seats and only maintained their majority by a fucking random drawing. And it wasn't because of massive Democrat turnout (yes, Dem turnout was higher than the last election but not overly so), it was because of MASSIVELY lower GOP turnout in rural areas. Republicans lost seats in places that never should have even been in play.

2018-01-17 05:28:19 UTC

while Democrat turnout is higher in percentage,

2018-01-17 05:28:25 UTC

it's not in raw numbers.
Democrats noticed after GA06 that when they don't announce the vote, only Dems will turn out because of their anger.

2018-01-17 05:28:32 UTC

REPUBLICANS,

2018-01-17 05:28:34 UTC

GET,

2018-01-17 05:28:37 UTC

OFF,

2018-01-17 05:28:43 UTC

YOUR,

2018-01-17 05:28:46 UTC

LAZY,

2018-01-17 05:28:48 UTC

ASSES

2018-01-17 05:28:55 UTC

**VOTE**

2018-01-17 12:54:02 UTC

I just woke up and looked through the rest of the thread last night, great discussion guys !

2018-01-17 12:54:34 UTC

I'm not surprised by that D shift

2018-01-17 12:54:52 UTC

as I mentioned before....state legislature elections can be massively gamed because people don't really hear about them

2018-01-17 12:55:06 UTC

which means that the pissed off motivated side does the best

2018-01-17 12:57:15 UTC

I'm gonna rewrite the OP for the general thread

2018-01-17 16:04:05 UTC

Hard to understate just how disastrous a sign for 2018 the GOP's loss in the WI state Senate special election (SD-10 in Western WI) is. Harsdorf an incumbent who made this seat look stronger for GOP than it naturally is, but still, a 9pt loss among Trump's core vote? DOOM.

2018-01-17 16:04:56 UTC

state legislature elections in January =/= congressional elections in November

2018-01-17 16:05:03 UTC

well were does this candidate stand on local issues?

2018-01-17 16:05:22 UTC

can't be as bad as Warren (fucking kill me plz)

2018-01-17 16:12:21 UTC

4 elections in deeply Trump districts tonight. All saw huge swing toward Dems compared to 2016 pres results.

SC HD99: +15% net swing toward Dems
IA HD06: +18%
WI SD10: +24% or +27%
WI AD58: +25%

2018-01-17 16:12:44 UTC

We have a turnout problem

2018-01-17 16:13:14 UTC

yeah, so the question is...what can be done to make Republicans turn out

2018-01-17 16:13:23 UTC

and what are the Democrats doing to make them turn out

2018-01-17 16:13:26 UTC

I'm guessing a lot of funding

2018-01-17 16:13:27 UTC

We can't do this online

2018-01-17 16:13:34 UTC

We need to go knocking on doors

2018-01-17 16:13:39 UTC

make phone calls

2018-01-17 16:13:44 UTC

a lot of organization through websites like the Daily Kos

2018-01-17 16:13:46 UTC

put up fliers, etc.

2018-01-17 16:13:49 UTC

GOTV efforts

2018-01-17 16:13:53 UTC

oh yeah

2018-01-17 16:13:56 UTC

yes, exactly

2018-01-17 16:13:59 UTC

I'm not sure what the hell the GOP is doing

2018-01-17 16:14:06 UTC

they should be aware of this

2018-01-17 16:14:13 UTC

they already gave up

2018-01-17 16:14:19 UTC

wtf

2018-01-17 16:14:31 UTC

honestly one of the best things we can do is spread this information to every right leaning person we can find

2018-01-17 16:14:44 UTC

as proof that they still need to vote for these elections

2018-01-17 16:16:59 UTC

oh yeah

2018-01-17 16:17:12 UTC

so here's something major we're going to have to push in the general

2018-01-17 16:17:39 UTC

having everyone who browses the thread on /pol/ to make a list of all the people they know in real life willing to vote for GOP candidates

2018-01-17 16:17:40 UTC

@Red Storm (in NYC) visit your local RNC office and ask them how you can help

2018-01-17 16:17:49 UTC

and to PM them about it

2018-01-17 16:20:37 UTC

btw, don't get anxious about this. The GOP won every other race yesterday, 6 to 1

2018-01-17 16:21:35 UTC

can we get a spreadsheet or list over the results of every race yesterday?

2018-01-17 16:23:35 UTC

on it fam

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