Message from @Red Storm (in NYC)

Discord ID: 403170233965346826


2018-01-17 05:20:21 UTC  

Not sure whether it's demotivation, or energy from the left, or both, but it's an issue.

2018-01-17 05:21:20 UTC  

We've gotta have some sort of major event happen

2018-01-17 05:22:18 UTC  

Trump better have something major up his sleeve to be able to turn this around, because the issues aren't going to cut it. "the economy" isn't going to be winning the GOP any elections any time soon, sad to say.

2018-01-17 05:24:13 UTC  

As for the moment, though, doesn't look good.

2018-01-17 05:25:21 UTC  

a 'trump card' is really what I'm crossing my fingers for, there's gotta be a good plan other than business as usual.

2018-01-17 05:25:56 UTC  

if the midterms were held today, we'd be destroyed, that I can say

2018-01-17 05:26:02 UTC  

Agreed

2018-01-17 05:27:11 UTC  

Let's find a way to change the course somehow, theorize, strategize or whatever, but let's do that later, it's the middle of the night and I'm gonna hit the bed.

2018-01-17 05:27:31 UTC  

This reminds of 2017 too,

2018-01-17 05:27:38 UTC  

Look at Virginia last year. Yes, it's a purple state but going into the election Republicans controlled 66 of 100 seats in their legislature. They lost 15 seats and only maintained their majority by a fucking random drawing. And it wasn't because of massive Democrat turnout (yes, Dem turnout was higher than the last election but not overly so), it was because of MASSIVELY lower GOP turnout in rural areas. Republicans lost seats in places that never should have even been in play.

2018-01-17 05:28:19 UTC  

while Democrat turnout is higher in percentage,

2018-01-17 05:28:25 UTC  

it's not in raw numbers.
Democrats noticed after GA06 that when they don't announce the vote, only Dems will turn out because of their anger.

2018-01-17 05:28:32 UTC  

REPUBLICANS,

2018-01-17 05:28:34 UTC  

GET,

2018-01-17 05:28:37 UTC  

OFF,

2018-01-17 05:28:43 UTC  

YOUR,

2018-01-17 05:28:46 UTC  

LAZY,

2018-01-17 05:28:48 UTC  

ASSES

2018-01-17 05:28:55 UTC  

**VOTE**

2018-01-17 12:54:02 UTC  

I just woke up and looked through the rest of the thread last night, great discussion guys !

2018-01-17 12:54:34 UTC  

I'm not surprised by that D shift

2018-01-17 12:54:52 UTC  

as I mentioned before....state legislature elections can be massively gamed because people don't really hear about them

2018-01-17 12:55:06 UTC  

which means that the pissed off motivated side does the best

2018-01-17 12:57:15 UTC  

I'm gonna rewrite the OP for the general thread

2018-01-17 16:04:05 UTC  

Hard to understate just how disastrous a sign for 2018 the GOP's loss in the WI state Senate special election (SD-10 in Western WI) is. Harsdorf an incumbent who made this seat look stronger for GOP than it naturally is, but still, a 9pt loss among Trump's core vote? DOOM.

2018-01-17 16:04:56 UTC  

state legislature elections in January =/= congressional elections in November

2018-01-17 16:05:03 UTC  

well were does this candidate stand on local issues?

2018-01-17 16:05:22 UTC  

can't be as bad as Warren (fucking kill me plz)

2018-01-17 16:12:21 UTC  

4 elections in deeply Trump districts tonight. All saw huge swing toward Dems compared to 2016 pres results.

SC HD99: +15% net swing toward Dems
IA HD06: +18%
WI SD10: +24% or +27%
WI AD58: +25%

2018-01-17 16:12:44 UTC  

We have a turnout problem

2018-01-17 16:13:14 UTC  

yeah, so the question is...what can be done to make Republicans turn out

2018-01-17 16:13:23 UTC  

and what are the Democrats doing to make them turn out

2018-01-17 16:13:26 UTC  

I'm guessing a lot of funding

2018-01-17 16:13:27 UTC  

We can't do this online

2018-01-17 16:13:34 UTC  

We need to go knocking on doors

2018-01-17 16:13:39 UTC  

make phone calls

2018-01-17 16:13:44 UTC  

a lot of organization through websites like the Daily Kos

2018-01-17 16:13:46 UTC  

put up fliers, etc.

2018-01-17 16:13:49 UTC  

GOTV efforts

2018-01-17 16:13:53 UTC  

oh yeah

2018-01-17 16:13:56 UTC  

yes, exactly