I seriously don't understand,

The last thing that should be on Trump's mind or anyone in the RNC is to remain on this course

About 60,000 voters didn't show up tonight

why the hell did they stay home?

Not an election day

but they showed up in 2016

was it nov. 8 2016 or a random day

lemme check

Nov 6

*8

but still

It makes sense

If you have the ballot sheet down the line when you're voting for president, you'll vote for senators, congressmen, and state legislature

A lot of people aren't thinking politics and voting on some random day in January

Clearly less of the Rs are coming out than dems, which is a major issue.

Not sure whether it's demotivation, or energy from the left, or both, but it's an issue.

We've gotta have some sort of major event happen

Trump better have something major up his sleeve to be able to turn this around, because the issues aren't going to cut it. "the economy" isn't going to be winning the GOP any elections any time soon, sad to say.

As for the moment, though, doesn't look good.

a 'trump card' is really what I'm crossing my fingers for, there's gotta be a good plan other than business as usual.

if the midterms were held today, we'd be destroyed, that I can say

Agreed

Let's find a way to change the course somehow, theorize, strategize or whatever, but let's do that later, it's the middle of the night and I'm gonna hit the bed.

This reminds of 2017 too,

Look at Virginia last year. Yes, it's a purple state but going into the election Republicans controlled 66 of 100 seats in their legislature. They lost 15 seats and only maintained their majority by a fucking random drawing. And it wasn't because of massive Democrat turnout (yes, Dem turnout was higher than the last election but not overly so), it was because of MASSIVELY lower GOP turnout in rural areas. Republicans lost seats in places that never should have even been in play.

while Democrat turnout is higher in percentage,

it's not in raw numbers.
Democrats noticed after GA06 that when they don't announce the vote, only Dems will turn out because of their anger.

REPUBLICANS,

GET,

OFF,

YOUR,

LAZY,

ASSES

**VOTE**

I just woke up and looked through the rest of the thread last night, great discussion guys !

I'm not surprised by that D shift

as I mentioned before....state legislature elections can be massively gamed because people don't really hear about them

which means that the pissed off motivated side does the best

I'm gonna rewrite the OP for the general thread

Hard to understate just how disastrous a sign for 2018 the GOP's loss in the WI state Senate special election (SD-10 in Western WI) is. Harsdorf an incumbent who made this seat look stronger for GOP than it naturally is, but still, a 9pt loss among Trump's core vote? DOOM.

state legislature elections in January =/= congressional elections in November