Message from @Scribblehatch

Discord ID: 508762965713879053


2018-11-04 21:54:53 UTC  

I saw a comment that said this

2018-11-04 21:55:04 UTC  

Polls are not meant to report public opinion, but to affect it.

2018-11-04 21:55:16 UTC  

😂 👌

2018-11-04 21:56:01 UTC  

Some of them are accurate.

2018-11-04 21:56:26 UTC  

But when they get this big. When so much is on the line. And there's this many METAPHORICAL TELEPHONES the numbers have to pass through.

2018-11-04 21:56:41 UTC  

There's all sorts of ways to make one number look bigger than another number on a graph

2018-11-04 21:57:02 UTC  

Like cut out the bottom 10,000 when you're reporting between the figures of 10,032 and 10,212.

2018-11-04 21:57:17 UTC  

"Look at how much better our service is than our competitor's!"

2018-11-04 21:57:45 UTC  

And you caught them on a bad week where you got ahead of them slightly.

2018-11-04 21:57:49 UTC  

lol

2018-11-04 21:59:15 UTC  

i doubt that any of the polling companies have managed to capture and account for the 'shy tory' effect. i know that i would never, ever tell a random stranger who calls me on the phone what party or candidate i support.

2018-11-04 21:59:55 UTC  

I always lie to pollsters

2018-11-04 22:00:47 UTC  

well, you can't really be sure they're pollsters can you?

2018-11-04 22:01:05 UTC  

could be antifa or some other progressive group trying to get you fired.

2018-11-04 22:01:29 UTC  

Apparently sargon is back on Twitter

2018-11-04 22:01:31 UTC  

Take a look at Backworldsman (@backworldsman1): https://twitter.com/backworldsman1?s=09

2018-11-04 22:01:53 UTC  

They're only polling for people stupid enough to give random people time out of their day to answer a poll.

2018-11-04 22:02:12 UTC  

Have you ever had someone approach you in a mall and ask you something?

2018-11-04 22:02:19 UTC  

Don't people with something to do just BLOW THEM OFF?

2018-11-04 22:02:23 UTC  

@Atkins on the other hand, pollsters struggle to measure young voters now.

2018-11-04 22:02:23 UTC  

I do.

2018-11-04 22:02:48 UTC  

Tim's video is about actual votes though, not polls.

2018-11-04 22:03:08 UTC  

Mind you, the votes aren't counted, but you can make pretty informed guesses.

2018-11-04 22:04:25 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/508763479058939924/IMG_20181105_033406.jpg

2018-11-04 22:04:51 UTC  

I was waiting for someone to post that. And it's even been "fixed" to use the NPC meme...

2018-11-04 22:06:06 UTC  

lol

2018-11-04 22:06:25 UTC  

I will say this. If you haven't voted yet...you should do so. Everything is in play it seems. MI, TX, WV, IN, GA, NJ... There was briefly a poll showing the R's gaining on the D's in the CA governor race.

2018-11-04 22:06:37 UTC  

Then there's the gubernatorial race in FL and GA.

2018-11-04 22:06:44 UTC  

voting is on Tuesday for me

2018-11-04 22:06:49 UTC  

well

2018-11-04 22:06:49 UTC  

Seriously, everything is in play at this point.

2018-11-04 22:06:53 UTC  

for everyone i believe

2018-11-04 22:06:55 UTC  

So do vote.

2018-11-04 22:07:08 UTC  

Some of us have early voting.

2018-11-04 22:07:34 UTC  

im curious how the Feehan and Hagedorn vote is gonna turn out

2018-11-04 22:12:17 UTC  

Interesting

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/508765458154127361/Screenshot_20181105-033957.png

2018-11-04 22:12:24 UTC  
2018-11-04 22:12:36 UTC  

Winning!

2018-11-04 22:12:40 UTC  

I. E some of the smartest people are fucking stupid.

2018-11-04 22:17:41 UTC  

"Overall, my findings suggest that higher intelligence
among classically liberal Republicans compensates for lower
intelligence among socially conservative Republicans. Interestingly,
the difference in verbal intelligence between those
who supported the Republican Party in elections and those
who supported the Democratic Party (2 IQ points) is
somewhat smaller than the difference between those who
identify as Republican and those who identify as Democrat
(2–5 IQ points). One possible explanation is that Independents
with higher intelligence are more likely to support
the Democratic Party in elections. Future research should
test this prediction. It should also address the more complex
question of why intelligence happens to be correlated
with particular kinds of social and economic beliefs
(Charlton, 2009; Kanazawa, 2010; Woodley, 2010; Dutton,
2013)."