!agree

hey

i wanted to ask because im having trouble to find the source. does anyone have the source for the fivethirtyeight article saying how unaccurate they believe their predicitons to be for one or both of the congress races?

arent we all?

and otto, Discipline is less of a trait to make you happy and more of a trait to avoid unhappiness. you can avoid unhappiness through discipline but you still need someone else in your life to tip yourself toward happiness

and the outcome of the other action, I.E. being fat, would end up making such a person unhappy. while discipline runs counter to short term happiness, it helps prevent long term unhappiness

however their must also be a drive, or a motive, to find happiness in the action you took

wol thats where moderation comes into play, drinking one beer wont make me an alcoholic but downing half a bottle of whisky each weekend because of lack of self-control and discipline very much could

discipline is simply the understanding of self-control and the ability to avoid long term unhappinesses

thats what mental tools such as discipline, self control, etc. are, ideas. they are mental trainings and ideas we use to help make decisions in life

but my other question remains, does anyone have a source for the article claiming nate silver said the fivethirtyeight predictions had a 40% chance of being wrong?

people are irrational, we are drawn to emotional appeals and our inner emotions to make decisions before what we consider logic.

that is why its important any presentation mixes facts with emotional appeal hence the use of Pathos Logos and Ethos

east asian society has a problem with colectivism, the society over their frequently see workers and people as groups instead of individuals as well as a high expectation of success. when people feel that they have failed or that they have not become successful, many take their lives because they feel themselves to be worthless to the society around them which they believe ostracizes them. America and other western societies are individualists, where everyone has their own unique path and is their own person. so naturally we also have many who feel the need to be the "hero" of their story and do something to seperate themselves from the norm of society hence the SJWs and progressivees

Humans are self interested, but that is not a bad thing

because of the prevalant system of economics in many developed nations, others selfish acts are inherently altruistic

oh god no, objectivism is simply not possible

its an ever expanding hallway of an ideal, in the words of one of my judicial process readings from the words of a federal judge. "there is no such thing as an objective judge as a judge has only his own particular lense in which to view the world, they can try to understand anothers lense but all information and decisions are filtered through the lense created by that judges life experiences"

no one can be objective to any situation, not even those we decide to judge our actions. each person has only their lense in which to decide their opinion on a matter. objectivism requires a person to see through the lense of both parties in a dispute

humanity is by nature, irrational. we rely more on our lense of the world and the emotions and opinions of our "tribe" or society to form our own. now this isent something we have just begun, this was a evolutionary benefit. however, the realm of facts and statistics have only come along recently (in relative with the evolution of humanity) meaning we have not adapted as a whole species toward that line of thinking

Ttv. That's been a part of our mental evolutionary path for centuries, we have seen things from tibalistic perspectives since before we could write laws. Also, again that's the point of an Ethos pathos logos argument. Staistics are important in modern debate to reinforce your view, but you need to use emotional appeals to saw the audience

I still gotta read "the wrath of nation's" for a lit review on nationalism and ethnic conflict for a college class

Ttv many modern political problems today can find their roots in the past, we take tribalism as our de facto way of doing things because we as a species are pack animals. We know alone we are weak but together we can accomplish much more, I would have used the "bundle of sticks" analogy but I have a feeling that would come up with me sounding like a Nazi 😂

Personally, I think we do better as individuals, but humanity is predisposed to collectivism

Well that's where the idea of "politics stops at the border" comes from

@Existence is identity ..that's not collectivism

But that definition any republic or Democracy is collectivist

But that definition any republic or Democracy is collectivist

Collectivism is the belief that people are only part of a group, not individuals

I.E. just cause your black you must vite democrat

Dusty, your describing cooperative action

Also, collectivism and individualism are bad when used in the extreme. Both are effective for different aspects of life

That's why a two party system has it's own benefit. It allows the pendulum to stay near the middle instead of a constant swing between the two extremes

While collectivism can get dangerous a lot faster than individualism, both lead to bad extremes

Those two basically hit it on the head

When everyone is their own person and only worried about their own person, those who are not the "fittest" of our society are forgotten and left behind for the inability to keep up as well as the fact we will only see ourselves as "Jim" "Bob" or "George", but the bits of collectivism is what allows us to see ourselves not just with our views as us as individuals, but also as a collective, as "Americans" for example

In a completely individualist world, the nation state is none existent

Ideology, much like alcohol or drugs, require a moderation for both sides of the ideological spectrum

I'm probably gonna finish the rest of the Atlas shrugged movie while I wait

Haven't had time mate, I've been rushing thru college to the point Im completing a 4 year poly sci degree in 2

I have many a time wonder why the fuck I do this to myself

Cause I'm here for four years anyway

2 majors and a minor

Poly sci and public administration majors and a finance minor

It is, I've already spent a week working at the U.N. last year

And I hated myself for it, wake up at 5 AM to dress in full Western culture business attire and get back to the hotel at 11 PM

I honestly probably would have been a forensic scientist if its pay wasn't so shit

Which country is this??

My uncle and my Ex's aunt were farmers from there

Nah, family farms

I'm in America mate, Minnesota rn for college

Uncle lost his farm, but Ex's aunt still had hers from last I talked to her which was about a year ago

Ttv I got 4 years of this with no debt, as well as law school after this

The fucking hoops I'm going through to try an be a legislator

Depends if I can convince enough people.to vote for me mate

I'm actually interning right now at the DFL here

I think I only remember one phrase in Afrikaans?

Ek is my lief fir jiu or something like that

Essentially "I love you"

As I said, Ex was from South Africa so I tried at the very least 😂

My Spanish and Afrikaans are horrible

😂 I'm from Illinois so here we all kinda memorize our McDonald's orders in spanish

Joking if that wasn't clear

But you do get the occasional one who actually can't speak english

Oh and btw. College professors can easily be as bad as they say. We have a sociology professor here who will fail you from the class if you culturally approriate someone

For my old political theroy class we had to have the ability to argue from a Rosseuian, a lockeian, and a hobbeian belief

So naturally, we had to read all of them

However, Rosseu needed to take a fucking creative writing class because he was more dry than Capetown

Paine is also a good one

I also had a professor who was a "muh philospher Karl Marx" so I had to buy the commie manifesto

Most expensive kindle I've ever bought

It's college mate

I'm surprised they don't charge me for air

Oh also, I'm known in my IR class for creating the blitzkrieg and reinstating the axis.

We had a simulation where everyone was separated into groups of 4

Each group gets a country with a random resource gain each turn

It was, especially since most groups were your frolick thru The Meadows of peace liberal types

So while me and one other country group built a military, NO ONE ELSE DID

Just for a thought game, anyone else think the world would be better off if stronger countries we're ostracized for annexing weaker ones?

Why bother when you can listen to the gay Nazi fucking a black guy instead?

I love people who think China could stand a chance at America militarily

think of it this way, a war with China is mainly going to be Navy vs Navy

we would at most have to fortify the DMZ with land troops

however, while our economy only requires about 7% of its input from outside sources, Chinas is sitting at around 78-80%

we wouldent even need to land, we could simply anaconda plan China and wait for their economy to collapse

and "Our" in a war with china would most likely be a joint of USA, Japan, SK, Taiwan, etc.

now while they have been investing heavily into missile tech, they are no where near missile saturation for a carrier battle group

Western Europe would be a toss up as to them joining

unless China reinstates the silk road land passage, a sea blockade would pretty much strangle their economy

as well as their economy being the only legitimacy their govt has

we are also talking about a completly rookie Navy and an even more greehorn army, and as for any tech to overpower the U.S. military, china certainly wouldent have it. again the only big weakness of a Carrier battelgroup is Missile saturation, however china is no where near the ability to do that yet

"personal weed for recrational purposes should not be illegal" never clicked strongly agree so fast

*have you seen both their Navies? they make the Langely look like a Nimitiz*

both China and Russia have completly ignored their Carrier and Sub Doctrines to the point they are incredibly far behind

im hoping so, minnesota has it coming in for a vote early next year and my home state is trying as well

Russias SU fighters are absolute crap in regards to CAS and even air superiority. most of the reason they would win in the air is their AA defenses

F-35 is actually a great attacker mate

we have a few guys here at the veterans house for my college that have flown it

wind only causes problems with the VTOL verison which is used solely on carriers and only effects said VTOL ability