Message from @Jack H.
Discord ID: 546497992702820381
Oh yeah, one of the reasons Dems have been winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college is, at least based on my research, that states that are trending left are generally solid one way or another (like Texas or New Mexico) while the states that are trending right are or used to be swing states (like Pennsylvania and Iowa)
ya i agree with u 100%
It’s just one of the peculiarities of the electoral college
ok visitor
trump vs who
i'll do one rn
Ok so
The program I wrote only predicts state results vs the national popular vote, so I have to give it a projected popular vote for it to describe the state-by-state results
nice
In that case, it’s more like [Trump vs generic democrat]
ya
give me a dem
Joe Biden
oh god
brb
Why not
uhh
all votes to trump biden is a child molester
ok i'll do one now i'll be like 5 mins
Here’s my average preduction map
It sort of surprised me
make VA more blue
for my prediction
and that's how i think
Ok
Seems reasonable
trump is gonna be hard against him
Apparently NC is going left pretty fast too
i'll do a best case scenario for biden now
ah
There’s a whole range of “best case”
The *best* best case would be something like trump escorted from the White House in chains, which is clearly very unlikely but not impossible
Hmm
Can you give me an estimate for best-case Biden popular vote?
hmm
gonna be a population increase 2020
i'd say
In percent