Message from @Leo (BillNyeLand)

Discord ID: 546497227091345428


2019-02-17 01:01:09 UTC  

I have some predicted using a computer program

2019-02-17 01:01:11 UTC  

cause virginia is gonna be blue mostly

2019-02-17 01:01:17 UTC  

but PA is a swing state

2019-02-17 01:01:29 UTC  

send me a 2020 scenario

2019-02-17 01:01:44 UTC  

trump vs

2019-02-17 01:02:25 UTC  

Oh yeah, one of the reasons Dems have been winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college is, at least based on my research, that states that are trending left are generally solid one way or another (like Texas or New Mexico) while the states that are trending right are or used to be swing states (like Pennsylvania and Iowa)

2019-02-17 01:02:41 UTC  

ya i agree with u 100%

2019-02-17 01:02:57 UTC  

It’s just one of the peculiarities of the electoral college

2019-02-17 01:03:06 UTC  

ok visitor

2019-02-17 01:03:09 UTC  

trump vs who

2019-02-17 01:03:14 UTC  

i'll do one rn

2019-02-17 01:03:17 UTC  

Ok so

2019-02-17 01:04:07 UTC  

The program I wrote only predicts state results vs the national popular vote, so I have to give it a projected popular vote for it to describe the state-by-state results

2019-02-17 01:04:18 UTC  

nice

2019-02-17 01:04:28 UTC  

In that case, it’s more like [Trump vs generic democrat]

2019-02-17 01:04:33 UTC  

ya

2019-02-17 01:04:35 UTC  

give me a dem

2019-02-17 01:04:47 UTC  

Joe Biden

2019-02-17 01:04:50 UTC  

oh god

2019-02-17 01:04:51 UTC  

brb

2019-02-17 01:04:52 UTC  

Why not

2019-02-17 01:04:56 UTC  

uhh

2019-02-17 01:05:11 UTC  

all votes to trump biden is a child molester

2019-02-17 01:05:19 UTC  

ok i'll do one now i'll be like 5 mins

2019-02-17 01:07:23 UTC  

Here’s my average preduction map

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546497862712819723/IMG_5616.JPG

2019-02-17 01:07:54 UTC  

this is how i see it

2019-02-17 01:07:56 UTC  

It sort of surprised me

2019-02-17 01:08:00 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546498015645401118/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:08:21 UTC  

make VA more blue

2019-02-17 01:08:26 UTC  

for my prediction

2019-02-17 01:08:30 UTC  

and that's how i think

2019-02-17 01:08:56 UTC  

Ok

2019-02-17 01:09:04 UTC  

Seems reasonable

2019-02-17 01:09:12 UTC  

trump is gonna be hard against him

2019-02-17 01:09:16 UTC  

Apparently NC is going left pretty fast too

2019-02-17 01:09:18 UTC  

i'll do a best case scenario for biden now

2019-02-17 01:10:29 UTC  

ah

2019-02-17 01:10:35 UTC  

There’s a whole range of “best case”

2019-02-17 01:11:19 UTC  

The *best* best case would be something like trump escorted from the White House in chains, which is clearly very unlikely but not impossible

2019-02-17 01:11:32 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/418667927169138688/546498904896569354/image0.png

2019-02-17 01:11:50 UTC  

Hmm