Message from @Leo (BillNyeLand)

Discord ID: 547922549120565259


2019-02-20 22:35:18 UTC  

correlation does NOT equal causation

2019-02-20 22:37:53 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547909790408638464/unknown.png

2019-02-20 22:38:13 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547909874055381012/unknown.png

2019-02-20 22:38:33 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547909955387129867/unknown.png

2019-02-20 22:38:55 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547910047586451476/unknown.png

2019-02-20 22:38:58 UTC  

you get the point

2019-02-20 22:58:25 UTC  

If it has been correlating for millions of years, then something is up

2019-02-20 23:01:31 UTC  

you can't run a true experiment because you can't randomly assign "treatment conditions" therefore you can never assume that correlation = causation. Doing so would be irrational in any scientific field. there is a possible association but there is no evidence that suggests that human activity is the cause and we will never be able to prove it.

2019-02-20 23:01:51 UTC  

association and correlation are two completely different things

2019-02-20 23:20:49 UTC  

The Poles are melting

2019-02-20 23:21:39 UTC  

Also, the correlation has happened over millions of years, if a correlation happens for that long, it's probably a causation

2019-02-20 23:24:56 UTC  

It’s not called global warming, it’s called climate change. You must’ve forgot to update your agenda

2019-02-20 23:25:20 UTC  

The words are interchangeable

2019-02-20 23:26:21 UTC  

What about the medieval warm period?

2019-02-20 23:27:55 UTC  

Yeah America is colder, but this is about **Global** warming.

2019-02-20 23:27:58 UTC  

But it’s “warming”

2019-02-20 23:28:07 UTC  

That’s like saying a cold day in summer proves it’s actually winter

2019-02-20 23:28:35 UTC  

There’s always gonna be warm and cold days. You have to look at the overall trend

2019-02-20 23:28:54 UTC  

The world as a whole is warmer, however that means America is temporarily colder due to some weather effect.

2019-02-20 23:29:30 UTC  

This happens periodically. It happens every 1000 years or so infact.

2019-02-20 23:29:36 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547922804780171273/image0.png

2019-02-20 23:30:48 UTC  

Of course about 12000 years ago we came out of the ice age, so I mean since then.

2019-02-20 23:31:17 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547923228832563201/203_co2-graph-021116.png

2019-02-20 23:31:59 UTC  

A bit crude I know, but observe the bumps, they are "warm" periods.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547923406222262273/recent2Btemp2Bchart.png

2019-02-20 23:34:11 UTC  

Bear in mind there is a lot of regional variation, for example, Greenland, it actually used to be a lot warmer.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547923959669063700/Easterbrook-Natural_global_warming.png

2019-02-20 23:34:57 UTC  

That is to say most the last 10,000 years in Greenland were significantly warmer than it is now.

2019-02-20 23:36:10 UTC  

The if we go way back, we see that this whole global warming thing could just be a blip anyway before we go back into another ice age.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547924455394115631/Temperature_Interglacials.png

2019-02-20 23:36:23 UTC  

That'd be neat

2019-02-20 23:37:06 UTC  

The ice age was kinda cold, I think most of Europe and America were permafrost or tundra, with glacial features.

2019-02-20 23:37:15 UTC  

I’m not sure if that’s an argument to ignore climate change

2019-02-20 23:37:34 UTC  

Support global warming, avoid the ice age?

2019-02-20 23:37:35 UTC  

what? That the earth has done this plenty of time without humans and it always recovers?

2019-02-20 23:38:07 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547924949545910287/image0.png

2019-02-20 23:38:55 UTC  

Basically the Earth has a cycle where we will freeze again whatever we do, the entire global warming since the 1600s is barely 10% of the change caused by an ice age.

2019-02-20 23:40:08 UTC  

too bad there's like no sources in any of these graphs

2019-02-20 23:41:26 UTC  

Most of the mid-term ones are based on ice core data, the longer term ones are based on rock data, and the modern ones on recorded observations.

2019-02-20 23:41:36 UTC  

This is a fun one.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/536759048985640993/547925824842760194/Five_Myr_Climate_Change_Rev.png

2019-02-20 23:42:14 UTC  

It shows how the cycle has got more extreme, and the earth has got colder, over the last 5 million years.