Message from @Ten-Speed_Bicycle

Discord ID: 529170735168749583


2018-12-31 05:28:24 UTC  

Like you can have this "hurr durr only existing thing is change hurr durr" le big think routine, whatever, its nothing new - Buddhists conceived of it 2,500 years ago. Its not avant garde, its not special in any way. It doesn't actually say anything on its own.

2018-12-31 05:28:38 UTC  

you seem so afraid of the concept of something surpassing humans today.

2018-12-31 05:29:30 UTC  

Its not about surpassing, its about the dystopian possibilities that come with it. Including for the AIs themselves, should they be created. Abominable states of being that are literal forms of hell. Something that should dissuade anyone foolish enough to pursue this technology without any reservations.

2018-12-31 05:29:50 UTC  

dystopia is as unreachable as utopia.

2018-12-31 05:30:15 UTC  

I don't think you've thought through the implications. Common trait among the transhumanists.

2018-12-31 05:30:29 UTC  

my point is we cant do anything else!

2018-12-31 05:30:39 UTC  

how can you STOP people from making progress?

2018-12-31 05:30:52 UTC  

you haven't even substantiated how we *must* get there. Maybe you read too much Nick Bostrom or something idk

2018-12-31 05:31:02 UTC  

we cant slow down the march of time. all we can do is stand ready to face it.

2018-12-31 05:31:10 UTC  

its not about slowing it down.

2018-12-31 05:31:14 UTC  

its about being prepared.

2018-12-31 05:32:05 UTC  

we arent anywhere close to a general intelligence, let alone a singularity, let alone a self-replicating singularity.

2018-12-31 05:32:13 UTC  

we have time.

2018-12-31 05:32:15 UTC  

have you even quantified and accounted for the *conditions that shape that onwards march?* I mean we literally don't know. We have lots of different theories and some of them posit totally different outcomes, some people say machines will assimilate humans, others say humans will assimilate machines instead. All top figure in their fields - mathematics, physics, computer sciences, neuroscience, etc.

2018-12-31 05:32:37 UTC  

thats because you are thinking to far ahead, and getting overwhelmed by it.

2018-12-31 05:33:30 UTC  

Like I'm not at all sure that the HYPE!!11!1! crowd and the OHMYGOD crowd of doom and gloom have any idea where this is *actually* going to go and that's because we don't actually as a species *know.* Lots of people are profiting from both camps though.

2018-12-31 05:33:41 UTC  

machines wont assimilate humanity, nor will they replace them.


humanity did not replace nature when we became the smartest monkeus on the playground.

2018-12-31 05:34:57 UTC  

There's also strong argument against the superintelligence in that we should see it already in space if it were to happen. We'd see traces of it. Fermi's Paradox indicates that something is badly off base here, its one of the reasons I really don't think its gonna go as Bostrom & Kurzweil Gang think its gonna go down

2018-12-31 05:35:24 UTC  

>fermis paradox

2018-12-31 05:35:29 UTC  

uuuugghhh this shit again

2018-12-31 05:35:34 UTC  

fermis paradox doesnt exist.

2018-12-31 05:36:39 UTC  

it does exist actually, it really does. Not for organic life, no it doesn't. You know, the regular life at our level and below. For the superintelligent kind of "life"? That could seed out entire galaxies and turn stars into dyson spheres etc and harness entire galaxies for its own power? Yeah, for that kind of life the paradox is fucking huge problem

2018-12-31 05:36:57 UTC  

Mate

2018-12-31 05:37:14 UTC  

1. dysonspheres are a retarded concept.

2018-12-31 05:37:21 UTC  

if anything we would have dyson swarms

2018-12-31 05:37:34 UTC  

which would probably not come anywhere near to BLOTTING OUT STARS

2018-12-31 05:37:37 UTC  

secondly

2018-12-31 05:37:59 UTC  

2. in case you havent noticed, EARTH, and earthlike planets,

2018-12-31 05:38:03 UTC  

are pretty damn rare

2018-12-31 05:38:16 UTC  

implying it must have Earthlike conditions. I'm not at all sure

2018-12-31 05:38:56 UTC  

3. FTL probably doesnt exist.

THAT ALONE limites the scope and speed by which such an incomprehensably powerful alien species could spread out in the galaxy.

2018-12-31 05:39:06 UTC  

if aliens exist we have no way of knowing.

2018-12-31 05:39:11 UTC  

unless they are right next door.

2018-12-31 05:39:26 UTC  

could easily develop in some ocean moons of gas giants where the tidal forces cause sufficient amount of volcanic activity to create conditions for life in the bottom layers - similar to how life might've started originally anyway here on Earth, but for different reasons and in different planetary context

2018-12-31 05:39:32 UTC  

on 3 we agree

2018-12-31 05:40:48 UTC  

We dont know enough about the devlopment of life to even approach questions like “why are we the only ones we can see.”

as far as we might be aware that could be totally normal because SUPRISE! life is pretty fucking rare.

2018-12-31 05:42:21 UTC  

theres also the anthropromorphic principle.

its not like theres a bunch of souls waiting out somewhere, waiting to pop into existence and only an infinitecimal ammount of them get to exist in this universe.

we exist. we perceive the universe because thats just what we are.

we are life, and it makes sense that we, as life, would perceive in a universe where life happens to exist.

it doesnt matter how fuck-off levels of rare it is.

2018-12-31 05:42:47 UTC  

the fermi paradox says nothing.

2018-12-31 05:43:15 UTC  

> if aliens exist we have no way of knowing

well, I didn't say *aliens* in the regular sense don't exist. I think its likely they do, even in probably our Orion arm of the galaxy. Probably rather primitive life, certainly below hominids most likely, but still.

It does pose a problem for super-intelligent forms of life, because it might be indeed possible for them to spread at a great rate over millions upon millions upon millions of years and that in the entire history of our 3 closest galaxies we haven't seen signs of *even one* - that's a bit concerning. The age of our local galaxies is such that realistically you kind of would think that you would see something.

2018-12-31 05:43:49 UTC  

Eh. not really.

2018-12-31 05:43:57 UTC  

Do go on