Message from @₳ U T U M N 🦋
Discord ID: 658468074613375002
Bojo is only good because he’s on the outskirts.
there seems to be an alarming correlation though
Where London is a little more like what London used to be.
like 1 out of how many govt and opposition leaders?
hundreds
although theresa is maidenhead
Tbh I think it’s a self correcting thing
Labour literally became a London centric party 100% last election and look at them. Annihilation.
> Ricky Gervais criticised for transphobic tweets
of course he is <:pot_of_kek:544849795433496586>
like labour still have tons of safe seats outside of london. for example, liverpool and oxford east will probably never go to the tories
Tbh who cares if Liverpool and Oxford East remain Labour until the end of time. The fact remains that safe seats were taken this election and many more have become marginals. They got their worst performance in almost 100 years and probably will find themselves even worse off next election.
that's completely beyond my point
they'll absolutely go right through the floor next election
I imagine Labours true bottom number without a complete death of the party is probably 60-80 seats.
Tbh I wonder if there’s a list of Labours seats sorted by majority.
i could see that happening if rebecca gets in
Tbh I can’t see who doesn’t lose worse than Corbyn next time round.
but who could lose the least badly? the last decade has been excruciatingly slow. we kind of need labour to die quickly
Maybe Jess Phillips
is there one that isn't anti-britain
if so, they would probably lose the least badly
These things rarely happen fast. Politics is almost always a car crash in slow motion. I think to lose less-badly than they likely will it requires a non-Corbynista. So the real question is which Corbynista is going to sign themselves up for sepuku at the next election.
yeah i mean slower than that
like the coalition govt was slow, then the brexit debacle made everything super slow
and now we're just getting out of this funk
we're now going to see what the "normal pace" is
Boris will make the Government and Conservatives look good by how fast they’ll get stuff done
absolutely
Labour will look so slow in comparison that alone might damage them.
what was the highest majority of the blair government
Also the next election likely hinges on the reforms Boris makes in the first two years of his term.
Blair got something ridiculous
Well over 100
197
in '97
What's the criteria for a marginal? Winning by less than about 10% or?
yes
Blair got a majority of 179
and then the "size" of a marginal (or 'how marginal the marginal is') is determined the size of the majority