Message from @wacka
Discord ID: 626091214243889172
However we arnt gonna get a general election
They MPs have parl locked down
watching the Labour con atm, it's almost like watching a Adolf speech
The most recent polling is from 2 days ago
They have the government essentially held hostage
We are essentially at an impasse
Yes
The PM disagrees with Parliament but can't call a GE to get or lose a mandate
Well the signs are still up all over the motorway
If Johnson can get a No Deal polling is looking very good for him
Like every few miles it tells people to check trade docs
For the 1st
So they are still going on with that
Although the opposite is the case if he fails to get one
Mainly because the brexit party picks up alot
Pretty much splits the part in half
If he doesn't, a pact with the brexit party would be entirelt required
Whereas most of those votes go to the Conservatives in a No Deal
Nah depends
Assuming they had the seats
FPTP means percentages doesn't always mean majority
And assuming the BXP had more
20+22%
I'll quickly check with the Electoral Calculus
oh I thought it meant 22% of seats
No no
The first polls shows 43% between brx and con
Second shows 42%
I'd say it is movement of voters
So the Electoral Calculus says that in that voting Labour would get 284
Conservative would get 164
Not a loss in support for brexit but a shift in support on who people think can deliver it
BXP would get 48
So they wouldn't have enough
That doesn't include a pact though lizard
I guess
Which essentially allows them to act as a single party in some ways
So they won't split each other's vote