Message from @Joshu

Discord ID: 626092708699701258


2019-09-24 16:23:45 UTC  

oh I thought it meant 22% of seats

2019-09-24 16:23:51 UTC  

No no

2019-09-24 16:24:16 UTC  

The first polls shows 43% between brx and con

2019-09-24 16:24:21 UTC  

Second shows 42%

2019-09-24 16:24:32 UTC  

I'd say it is movement of voters

2019-09-24 16:25:25 UTC  

So the Electoral Calculus says that in that voting Labour would get 284

2019-09-24 16:25:36 UTC  

Conservative would get 164

2019-09-24 16:25:36 UTC  

Not a loss in support for brexit but a shift in support on who people think can deliver it

2019-09-24 16:25:49 UTC  

BXP would get 48

2019-09-24 16:25:56 UTC  

So they wouldn't have enough

2019-09-24 16:26:01 UTC  

That doesn't include a pact though lizard

2019-09-24 16:26:05 UTC  

I guess

2019-09-24 16:26:23 UTC  

Which essentially allows them to act as a single party in some ways

2019-09-24 16:26:30 UTC  

So they won't split each other's vote

2019-09-24 16:27:16 UTC  

However in the event of a no deal, it would be entirely different obviously

2019-09-24 16:27:39 UTC  

I think the % difference between remain and leave are so close that without an election it's impossible to tell

2019-09-24 16:28:23 UTC  

I wanna see if the recent news hurt him much

2019-09-24 16:28:30 UTC  

Through a poll

2019-09-24 16:28:36 UTC  

That will be interesting yeah

2019-09-24 16:28:40 UTC  

Clearly the pollsters are already going at it

2019-09-24 16:28:53 UTC  

I recon the first polls will show a bigger effect

2019-09-24 16:29:02 UTC  

And it will Normalise after a week or so

2019-09-24 16:29:36 UTC  

Oh look

2019-09-24 16:29:44 UTC  

Remainer campaigners have been found guilty

2019-09-24 16:29:54 UTC  

And leave people are getting theirs overturned

2019-09-24 16:30:22 UTC  

Are we now allowed to tell remainer voters they are stupid yet? Is it our turn?

2019-09-24 16:30:32 UTC  

I think we need to investigate the Electoral Commission

2019-09-24 16:30:35 UTC  

That was in jest

2019-09-24 16:30:41 UTC  

They seem biased against leave

2019-09-24 16:30:53 UTC  

They endlessly pursue any minor leave violation

2019-09-24 16:31:02 UTC  

Yet seem to want to ignore large Remain violations

2019-09-24 16:31:57 UTC  

Although it seems like Labour might lose one of their major voting bases

2019-09-24 16:32:33 UTC  

charismatic leaders ought to come with the warning label.

2019-09-24 16:33:20 UTC  

I just caught a press conference in NYC with boris

2019-09-24 16:33:27 UTC  

He spent half of it doing standup

2019-09-24 16:33:30 UTC  

Labours vote in the Midlands is just being torn apart by Voters leaving them because they are not Pro-Remain enough or Pro-Leave enough

2019-09-24 16:33:41 UTC  

He made a colonialism joke

2019-09-24 16:34:00 UTC  

About British rulers

2019-09-24 16:34:01 UTC  

😦 depressing.