Message from @The Electric Lizard
Discord ID: 633764433512103957
Where we parallel the EU?
*De facto staying in*
European sources have suggested the new proposals effectively leave Northern Ireland in the EU’s customs union.
One diplomat said: “It will be de jure in UK customs union but de facto in the EU’s.”
Ahahahaha
"Under the plans, Northern Ireland would leave the EU's customs union with the rest of Great Britain but would continue to impement the bloc's tariff regime to prevent a border with the Republic."
"Diplomats have hinted this could eventually become the permanent arrangement in Northern Ireland, instead of acting as a bridge to a future relationship after Brexit."
Well looks like the Conservatives are going to be destroyed by the BXP in the next election
Could this be the bit risk strat?
Possibly
Get parl to agree to a deal
therefore taking Benn act off the table
then procratinating the legislation
and forcing no deal
Maybe
But the courts might try to block it if he does
Maybe but the benn act would be anulled then
I think it will all come down to if the ERG support the deal
If they do then it's possible that Johnson has told them that he intends to do that
Since i don't think they would support it for any other reason
Since it only applies if he doesnt get parl and the EU to agree to a deal before the date
it would be a big risk though
We will see
It still comes down to if he can even get Parliament to agree to it
Which will be difficult within itself
There is a shit tonne to be done before the 31st
if a deal is agreed
This probably won't his chances
If it's true
There is always the other play
Although he doesn't need Labour
count on exactly that
Use the labout party still refusing to play as leverage to get support for a loophole they found
If he can get the entire Conservative Party and the defectors and the DUP to support his deal it could pass without Labour although it seems unlikely
Totally depends on what the deal is
I guess he could get some Labour MP's who are desperate for a deal
I just don't see a deal which both the ERG and the Conservative defectors would agree on
We still don't know if the strat is to even get a deal
Mogg wouldnt even confirm if the "Super saturday" was even required
Which is when they'd vote on the deal or next steps