Message from @chaz

Discord ID: 796095022628864040


2021-01-05 19:09:46 UTC  

We can agree to disagree

2021-01-05 19:10:27 UTC  

Race has to be added into the equation to figure mortality

2021-01-05 19:10:35 UTC  

no, because 50% of 4 is 2 and 50% of 8 is four, percentages are proportional

2021-01-05 19:10:53 UTC  

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. why, they is no difference, we're all human

2021-01-05 19:11:04 UTC  

More black people die from it

2021-01-05 19:11:11 UTC  

Supposedly

2021-01-05 19:11:36 UTC  

I think it's more about population density

2021-01-05 19:11:41 UTC  

Though

2021-01-05 19:12:06 UTC  

but the covid death numbers aren't accurate

2021-01-05 19:12:18 UTC  

Exactly

2021-01-05 19:12:24 UTC  

so, how does that have to do with an overarching average calculation of the mortality rate

2021-01-05 19:12:29 UTC  

I brought that up earlier

2021-01-05 19:12:50 UTC  

If you dont understand now you never will

2021-01-05 19:12:59 UTC  

I'll try 1 more time

2021-01-05 19:13:09 UTC  

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. but we agreed there off by porportional numbers

2021-01-05 19:13:28 UTC  

I'm basing my agruement off only things you agreed to

2021-01-05 19:15:14 UTC  

i'm not big brained enough for this

2021-01-05 19:15:25 UTC  

makes absolutely no sense to me whatsoever

2021-01-05 19:15:54 UTC  

to me if you're using inaccurate numbers to calcuate then the results aren't going to be accurate

2021-01-05 19:17:02 UTC  

Say there are 1000 black people they have a 50% chance of dying
1000 white 20% chance of dying
1000 asians 15% chance of dying
1000 Latinos 12% chance of dying
You have to figure all this in to the statistics plus population density and social gatherings
This is why the initial death count estimates were so off

2021-01-05 19:17:24 UTC  

the morality rate is the percent of cases that end in death, we agreed the number aren't exact but also agree that the cases that go unnotice are probably proptional to the deaths that go uncounted, thus, we can make a percentage calulation with the numbers given because percentage are always propotional.

2021-01-05 19:17:52 UTC  

that's a whole lotta guessing

2021-01-05 19:17:58 UTC  

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. ok, but a moratlity rate is an avegae over lines of race and age

2021-01-05 19:18:09 UTC  

taking an unknown and then assuming it's accurate

2021-01-05 19:18:31 UTC  

Your statistics are way off no reason to try sorry

2021-01-05 19:18:40 UTC  

@Meryl.140.15 no, there's no guessing, the calculation in based on the epidimioloical method

2021-01-05 19:19:04 UTC  

so what are you doing with the uncounted cases then if you're not guessing

2021-01-05 19:19:09 UTC  

That doesnt work in this scenario @chaz

2021-01-05 19:19:20 UTC  

also if we just make the calculation of the number's given it would techincally been the same as a study with a couple hunderd million people

2021-01-05 19:19:38 UTC  

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. it kinda does work though

2021-01-05 19:19:40 UTC  

Why were the experts so far off from the start?

2021-01-05 19:20:02 UTC  

Kinda doesnt equal does

2021-01-05 19:20:21 UTC  

cause they were predicting the future, I am reading the past

2021-01-05 19:20:25 UTC  

big difference

2021-01-05 19:20:45 UTC  

You're predicting future events off past data

2021-01-05 19:21:09 UTC  

Same as them

2021-01-05 19:21:35 UTC  

no, im saying a given number based on past data

2021-01-05 19:21:49 UTC  

but the past data is inaccurate

2021-01-05 19:22:15 UTC  

I love to argue but if anyone that understands our conversation wants to interject be my guess

2021-01-05 19:22:29 UTC  

yes, but only to a point, as that is basically the equivilent of a very large study case

2021-01-05 19:22:36 UTC  

no, im saying a given number based on past data lol