Say there are 1000 black people they have a 50% chance of dying
1000 white 20% chance of dying
1000 asians 15% chance of dying
1000 Latinos 12% chance of dying
You have to figure all this in to the statistics plus population density and social gatherings
This is why the initial death count estimates were so off

the morality rate is the percent of cases that end in death, we agreed the number aren't exact but also agree that the cases that go unnotice are probably proptional to the deaths that go uncounted, thus, we can make a percentage calulation with the numbers given because percentage are always propotional.

that's a whole lotta guessing

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. ok, but a moratlity rate is an avegae over lines of race and age

taking an unknown and then assuming it's accurate

Your statistics are way off no reason to try sorry

@Meryl.140.15 no, there's no guessing, the calculation in based on the epidimioloical method

so what are you doing with the uncounted cases then if you're not guessing

That doesnt work in this scenario @chaz

also if we just make the calculation of the number's given it would techincally been the same as a study with a couple hunderd million people

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. it kinda does work though

Why were the experts so far off from the start?

Kinda doesnt equal does

cause they were predicting the future, I am reading the past

big difference

You're predicting future events off past data

Same as them

no, im saying a given number based on past data

but the past data is inaccurate

I love to argue but if anyone that understands our conversation wants to interject be my guess

yes, but only to a point, as that is basically the equivilent of a very large study case

no, im saying a given number based on past data lol

well when CDC says only 6% of the total number are from covid that's a very large gap

please send that to me, I would love to read it

so it'd be a couple hundred thousand off

Not being offensive but where do you live@chaz

America

State big city?

I'm in WV

You're arguing with a dumb hillbilly

Just so you know

your argueing with a pertentious city dweller who thinks too highly of themselves, I'm in a blue state, but half my family is texan and rebulican, so I have a healthy diversity of thought

i'm sure it's somewhere

ok

I'm not calling you out just trying to place a name to an area

but still if we take the numbers GIVEN BY THE CDC then we have a mortality rate of 3.7422037422037%

I just gave you a list of things to make fun of me for

but we're looking for deaths FROM covid

Every stereotype I've heard it

Trust me

and 9.6 million with further health condition for the rest of their life