https://youtu.be/YS3i-irQ0L0

Percentages are not proportional equally if a black person has a higher rate of death than a white person. Did you figure in the % of population for the black person then add that probability into the equation? Black people are supposed to be more susceptible. Also population density plays a huge factor in the statistics along with shutdowns social distancing and more

there is no assumtion, when we say "we can assume" in a theorom, that's refering to an earlier proof of a truth

Your figures are way off

Dont try

what, we were just talking about over all mortality, in which no race is related

why are they off though

We can agree to disagree

Race has to be added into the equation to figure mortality

no, because 50% of 4 is 2 and 50% of 8 is four, percentages are proportional

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. why, they is no difference, we're all human

More black people die from it

Supposedly

I think it's more about population density

Though

but the covid death numbers aren't accurate

Exactly

so, how does that have to do with an overarching average calculation of the mortality rate

I brought that up earlier

If you dont understand now you never will

I'll try 1 more time

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. but we agreed there off by porportional numbers

I'm basing my agruement off only things you agreed to

i'm not big brained enough for this

makes absolutely no sense to me whatsoever

to me if you're using inaccurate numbers to calcuate then the results aren't going to be accurate

Say there are 1000 black people they have a 50% chance of dying
1000 white 20% chance of dying
1000 asians 15% chance of dying
1000 Latinos 12% chance of dying
You have to figure all this in to the statistics plus population density and social gatherings
This is why the initial death count estimates were so off

the morality rate is the percent of cases that end in death, we agreed the number aren't exact but also agree that the cases that go unnotice are probably proptional to the deaths that go uncounted, thus, we can make a percentage calulation with the numbers given because percentage are always propotional.

that's a whole lotta guessing

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. ok, but a moratlity rate is an avegae over lines of race and age

taking an unknown and then assuming it's accurate

Your statistics are way off no reason to try sorry

@Meryl.140.15 no, there's no guessing, the calculation in based on the epidimioloical method

so what are you doing with the uncounted cases then if you're not guessing

That doesnt work in this scenario @chaz

also if we just make the calculation of the number's given it would techincally been the same as a study with a couple hunderd million people

@PRIVILEGED N.P.C. it kinda does work though

Why were the experts so far off from the start?

Kinda doesnt equal does

cause they were predicting the future, I am reading the past

big difference