And the Hacker known as 4chan

That and they so do love trolling people with random disinformation.

but also, as soon as I saw the live video feeds from the polling centers, I thought of 4chan 12 year olds watching all the footage and finding everything they can

they've had their wins too

I wouldn't take of from 4chan first hand

but I'd take of from 4chan bounced of someone who knew wtf they are talking about

mmm he operates under the assumption that the post office is a random shuffler

but says who

This is patently false.

Order in which ballots are processed on type is state dependant and county dependant in some cases.

This is why I linked this article on the day of the election.

Because it contains what counts they vote first, and we know it's going to skew Democrat heavily when absentee ballots are counted.

Up to a 20 point swing for Mail-in vs. in person.

And that's just at a cursory glance.

So that 4chan bit is, more or less, bunk?

@Maw he means mail-in ballots are randomly shuffled

not all ballots

he assumes the post office is a random shuffler, and therefore all mail-in ballots should have some sort of constant distribution of votes, which means it should be a line

that is to say, the ratio of D/R [of strictly the mail in ballots] should remain the same over time

and it does for the most part

there are some discontinuities that he highlights as a flag

and there are some "lines" that curve

which he highlights as a flag

but if you getting it from the post office - so he claims - it should be shuffled together with all the other mail in votes

and therefore, there is no good order you can easily pick ballots from the pile that would result in a pattern other than an approximately constant D/R ratio

there might be some other broken assumptions, but I never heard that the post office is indeed a random shuffler

so I'd want information about that

Never have I, and there are tons of other reasons that could be incorrect, distance to the counting station, among other things.

It's not going to lead to a neat straight line in almost any case.

Especially because mail in ballots skew so hard to one side.

And districts are largely blue or red.

And they all report at different intervals.

Which is further going to skew results.

Some districts are going to be hugely more democrat/republican than other districts, and they'll all report in intervals, leading to wild variations.

You'd have to isolate a single reporting source.

Rather than an amalgamation of them.

Brown county and Milwaukee county are going to have a huge disparity of reporting figures.

Brown county skews republican by 5-10%, Milwaukee county skews democrat by 10-20%.

If they both report in intervals, that's not going to look like a neat linear line.

It's also more likely that large centers for huge swaths of votes are liable to take much longer to report figures than most other counties without dense populations.

So it could start to skew that way as well.