Lol

remember that tired interns are the ones reporting deaths

@Doc, you just advanced to level 20!

usually at 0235 inbetween answering two phonecalls and nurse waffles with her clipboard

@SPEARS the answer as to why her analysis incorrect is staring her in the face at this point ... all you have to do integrate under curve to find the area which would be the total number of deaths in the US during the time period for the integration ... you would very easily understand that the total deaths for this year exceed the normal by way more than normal

@SPEARS in fact if you put this on per capita basis this type of event in terms of excess deaths hasn't occurred for over 100 years

The jury is out on whether we find that cause for concern. That's a separate issue.

@SPEARS now about 12 minutes later she has this graph

Choose your own dystopic future. Maybe not.

I always thought a nuclear war would be spectacular.

But lately I have grown to understand that watching the slow motion breakdown of the collective psyche can be just as spectacular.

@SPEARS regarding this second graph she says something to the effect "According to this graph provided by the study, deaths labeled under Covid-19 increased while deaths labeled under others decreased." and then concludes "All of this points to no evidence that COVID-19 created any excess deaths"

Too quick

@busillis exactly. a 30 second flash, 2 weeks of bodily fluids all over the place, and then it is over.

You qualified

It

this will go on for years

attention-dependants slowly grinding to a state of catatonia....I am ordering that new car now.

prolonged disassembly is much more interesting

exactly what I realized too

@Doc are you ordering it out of a vending machine

@SPEARS the issue is this last graph is a derivative in calculus terms rather than an integral. Read the headings carefully: "change in deaths over previous weeks" Further she has dropped the Covid-19 category from the list of causes of deaths.

@busillis no, a dealership.

I've come to recently realized that's a thing

I need the right ride for this thing.

@SPEARS bottom line is that she is comparing changes in death rates over time rather than the sum of deaths over time.

https://www.carvana.com/

oooh"

boooo!

@meglide what about an unmitigated orgy of death?

I'm asking for a sick friend.

hahahaha!!!!

@SPEARS Here's the data concerning excess deaths straight from the CDC website. It plots excess deaths (all causes) and also shows those attributed to Covid and those not. There's an orange line which is the upper bound of the average expected weekly death count meaning if you exceed that then you're looking a statistically significant event (95 percent confidence I believe). We've been in that exceeding that line zone since March. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm#dashboard

I'm sure it's only a small fraction or that's what I've been told

@meglide in a nutshell are we all going to die?

well, only two have not

one of the prophets and....john the baptizer?

eli, I think it was. Rode into heaven on a chariot of fire.

What about the preceding redeemers?

correct ... but hopefully we don't all die in a nutshell