They're not wrong.

There don't seem to be many well-known candidates running.

In particular, only 2 have any notability from statewide elections.

1 was a candidate for Lt. Gov., where I assume he lost the primary, and the other was elected Auditor in 2016.

yeah but that doesn't mean Tester will definitely win

Yeah not necessarily but it's a huge indicator IMO; for instance, the actual right-wingers in Louisiana's 2016 Senate election were all defeated by a moderate just because he held the post of Treasurer.

Fortunately, Louisiana got a Republican Senator, even though he's a moderate one.

Another example is MN, where they're rating the regular election seat as "Solid D" while rating the special election seat as "likely D / tossup"

There's just no Republicans running to unseat the non-appointed incumbent.

it's still early

Indeed.

Hopefully, the situation improves.

What we need is fresh faces, charismatic candidates in the right wing to take over the GOP

Kind of like fuentes or one of those guys, good orators

We gotta keep this house seat for slammin' Gianforte.

http://www.american3rdpartyreport.com/2018/03/montana-constitution-party-reorganizing.html

@Pielover19 if he slams another journalist, he'll increase his lead in the state by 20%.

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Congress/comments/8fkjc6/race_to_replace_sen_jon_tester_dmt/

This morning, President Trump condemned Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) on Twitter:

Allegations made by Senator Jon Tester against Admiral/Doctor Ron Jackson are proving false. The Secret Service is unable to confirm (in fact they deny) any of the phony Democrat charges which have absolutely devastated the wonderful Jackson family. Tester should resign. The great people of Montana will not stand for this kind of slander when talking of a great human being. Admiral Jackson is the kind of man that those in Montana would most respect and admire, and now, for no reason whatsoever, his reputation has been shattered. Not fair, Tester!

Tester is basically dead now.

<@&417405337960710166> https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/montana/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5_wLNVRnYo8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEDjNv4ur0U

<@&417405337960710166> <@&432627153805377536> <@&399683356218097667> what do you think of these two ads ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fosOWW8NKdA

@Deleted User Not too bad. He's running hard as a Trump loyalist in a state where Trump is at a strong net approval.

Likely the best course for a candidate.

And these political ads are above average.

But it's going to take more than this to shatter the pro-Tester mystique in Montana.

The GOP needs to really hammer sanctuary cities.

Montana likes Medicaid so healthcare may not be a great issue to run on in this state.

But illegal immigration & sanctuary cities are definitely great issues to hammer. But they need more than that.

Tying Tester to Pelosi is also very smart in a state where the Democratic Party is very disliked.

might be better off trying to run negative ads against the Democratic Party as a whole than against Jon Tester

^

Democrats go extremely hard left on single payer in Montana because of its relatively poor rural population. It's an official party position in the state to pass single payer.

Both its current and previous governors have tried to institute single payer in the state.

I do think that running ads comparing the local D candidate to Pelosi is not too useful, as shown in PA-18. It's better to just trash the entire Democratic Party as a whole

I think the GOP would be wise to run multiple ads featuring former Democrats who feel disenfranchised by the party

But it's also a strong socially conservative reactionary state which'd rather burn their children alive than vote (D) in a presidential.

Yep.