Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 427628813468434432


2018-03-26 00:34:59 UTC  

Trump would win 2020 with a 57.8% of the popular vote

2018-03-26 00:35:11 UTC  

the electoral college victory,

2018-03-26 00:35:12 UTC  

yeah, won't happen

2018-03-26 00:35:22 UTC  

437-101

2018-03-26 00:35:26 UTC  

I'm thinking long game here

2018-03-26 00:35:38 UTC  

perhaps a more realistic number then

2018-03-26 00:35:54 UTC  

I'll give a year, 2036

2018-03-26 00:36:05 UTC  

is that too far off to get anything accurate?

2018-03-26 00:36:10 UTC  

no

2018-03-26 00:36:35 UTC  

um

2018-03-26 00:36:46 UTC  

assuming turnout level is equal amongst all race groups,

2018-03-26 00:36:58 UTC  

and third party vote is minimal,

2018-03-26 00:38:16 UTC  

A Republican would need to win 82% of the White Vote to snatch victory

2018-03-26 00:38:35 UTC  

assuming the minority vote is what

2018-03-26 00:39:41 UTC  

brb

2018-03-26 00:40:30 UTC  

alright then

2018-03-26 00:42:34 UTC  

actually, no

2018-03-26 00:42:58 UTC  

assuming Non-Whites vote the way they do now (7-3 for Democrats)

2018-03-26 00:43:36 UTC  

Whites will need to vote Republican by 72% to carry them to the White House

2018-03-26 00:44:04 UTC  

The White Electorate currently votes Republican at a rate of 58%

2018-03-26 00:44:14 UTC  

So from here on to now,

2018-03-26 00:44:31 UTC  

Whites need to shift 14 points more Republican as a whole

2018-03-26 00:44:37 UTC  

in two decades

2018-03-26 00:44:38 UTC  

so obviously we'll need to hinge on some things to survive as a political class

2018-03-26 00:45:04 UTC  

but again,

2018-03-26 00:45:18 UTC  

this is assuming Non-Whites keep voting the same way they do now

2018-03-26 00:45:36 UTC  

and if all race group turnouts are balanced

2018-03-26 00:46:06 UTC  

So what white vote do we need if minorities vote 6-4 for democrats in that year?

2018-03-26 00:47:48 UTC  

68.8%

2018-03-26 00:48:04 UTC  

Hey guys

2018-03-26 00:48:14 UTC  

Well, alright then. Thanks, this has been enlightening.

2018-03-26 00:50:38 UTC  

These are the two things we must do in regards to racial demographics to remain as a viable political class:
First, get whites to vote as a right wing bloc. Show the democrats as the anti-white party, a party which seeks the destruction of all whites.
Second, get a larger portion of the minority vote. We will never have a majority with them, no matter what Ben Shapiro says. However, we *can* improve our margins. This can be done by simply having a stronger platform, and in the case of the asians, showing how democratic policies like Affirmative Action have harmed them the most. With these groups you have to play civic nationalist.

2018-03-26 01:31:04 UTC  

Yep.

2018-03-26 01:31:16 UTC  

I believe we can have a majority of the Asian vote again, as we have in the past.

2018-03-26 01:31:27 UTC  

And we can have majorities of anti-Communist Hispanics and blacks, including Cubans.

2018-03-26 01:31:47 UTC  

Hell, we can possibly accomplish majorities of devout Hispanic Catholics.

2018-03-26 01:31:56 UTC  

However, we cannot actually acquire majorities of nonwhites.

2018-03-26 01:32:15 UTC  

We can strengthen our support among them but I see that happening through outreach that isn't plain old pandering.

2018-03-26 01:37:40 UTC  

Yeah.

2018-03-26 01:37:52 UTC  

Civnat is the only way to play with minorities.

2018-03-26 01:40:41 UTC  

By the way, wouldn't the margin whites would need be 61% if nonwhites voted 6-4, not 68%? If nonwhites voted 5-5, we'd need 50% (obviously), so I don't get it. Why does increasing our margins once get us 4% less of the white vote needed then the same increase again get us 18% less?