Message from @Eharding
Discord ID: 484796316556460044
<@&414481037620543488> VOTE IF YOU HAVEN'T DONE IT YET!
We have endorsed Kelli Ward and Doug Ducey!
Endorsements for House of Reps:
AZ-1: Steve Smith
AZ-2: Brandon Martin
AZ-3: None of the candidates have posted official stances on issues. Vote as you please. Sergio Arellano at least has a website.
AZ-4: Paul Gosar
AZ-5: Andy Biggs
AZ-6: David Schweikert
AZ-7: Your district is hell on Earth. Vote for whichever Democrat you want in their primary if you can, since there's no Republican.
AZ-8: Debbie Lesko
AZ-9: Dave Giles
<@&414481037620543488> if you haven't voted, please check out the endorsements!
Sinema clearly learned nothing from 2016 if she thinks there's legions of "moderate, independent, reasonable, centrist" heroes out there ready and willing to support the most moderate, independent, reasonable, centrist candidate. She should've spent all this extra time she had slamming McSally for being a Ryan/McConnell stooge and going far to the right to pander to the base. Instead she spent all her time talking about what a moderate hero she was and how much she hated Chuck Schumer. Bold strategy, we'll see if it pays off. Roll Eyes
McSally, on the other hand, is already hitting Sinema where it hurts. She is a far superior candidate.
I've thought Sinema was overrated for a while now. The ad itself probably won't matter much, but it's pretty telling that the first pointed attack ad in the race came from McSally despite Sinema having nearly a year long head start on her. She should've been using that time to define McSally. Instead she squandered it on moderate hero positioning and beating up on Democrats.
I think that trying to out-right wing the Republicans as an atheist homosexual is probably not the best approach for her, but I mean we'll see if that bloc of moderates will be enough, hopefully not
to be fair she's not advertising her views on religion and sexuality
Well yes but I mean it's a very clear conflict
Yeah, she knows that if everyone outs her on her religion/sexuality she'll be out of the running.
and Sinema is genuinely moderate
almost as much as Manchin
@Eharding >voted to take $500M of Social Security and throw it at abortion
>bisexual atheist
>mandate nuns to spend money on contraception
>100% approval rating from Planned Parenthood
>voted against the Wall twice
Which one is a concern exclusive to West Virginia, exactly?
the wall is about as popular as Trump
meaning it's not a winning issue per se in the general election (it is among the Republican base; I certainly support it)
IDK about the popularity of Planned Parenthood
abortion is, I believe, fairly unpopular in AZ
that's a real divide between the candidates
but it's very much a partisan issue
I actually think an open race between McSally and Sinema in West Virginia would result in a very easy McSally win
it'd be a tossup in Ohio
Michigan and Arizona would be Safe D with such candidates
McSally would win in AL by 10-15 given AL-SEN 2017 like conditions
@Eharding R turn out was much higher than D in the primary
that's very normal for states with high Hispanic populations
because Hispanics tend not to turn out much in primaries
the important thing is to look at the swing from 2014
and AZ has closed primaries, so tougher to figure out turnout with them due to RINOs and DINOs
in 2014, Republicans cast 93% more votes than Dems in the gubernatorial primary
that number for this year is 29% more votes than Dems
that's a pretty big pro-Dem swing
no doubt whatsoever
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 yup
