Message from @[Lex]
Discord ID: 484941161752952832
Longshanks was a tyrant.
evil man
Lies.
"The irish cries out in pain as he strikes you"
CUT IT OFF
Sax*n
Heh
Gillum
More like killum
All
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"Trump was the weakest one and somehow still won. All of them would have beaten her."
"Kasich would have had a landslide EC victory.
Marco Rubio would have won big.
An extremist like Ted Cruz was winning consistently in the polls vs Clinton when Trump was losing & Cruz is a good debater & Clinton's scandals didn't even blow up then.
I can't speak for every candidate though. Maybe Clinton would have beaten Carson who is a huge idiot & a goofball IMO.
But Trump was the weakest of the Republicans as a GE candidate & he won big vs Hillary so most GOP candidates should win!"
@Eharding thinks that the people on US Election Atlas are right about Kasich winning big
"Depends on if Stein can get more than 5% of the vote or not "
"These are the following % Kasich would need to win by nationally to win the following states:
PA/FL/WI: He wins even if he loses the popular vote by 1-2 points
New Hampshire/ Colorado: Tied Popular Vote
Michigan: 1 Points
Nevada: 2 points
Maine: 3 points
Virginia: 4 points
Oregon: 7 points
New Mexico: 9 points
New Jersey: 12 points
Connecticut/Washington: 14 points
I think Kasich wins by around 8 points nationally"
"Oregon is a pretty anti war state so the fact that Bush only lost by 4 points in 2004 was pretty impressive. Kasich is going to be significantly stronger than Bush in Oregon .
Also Kasich doesnt need 50% of the vote in Oregon to win the state
As long as he gets 47% he probably wins the state as if Kasich was the nominee Stein likely gets at least 5 % of the vote and Kasich wins. Kasich is more than capable of getting 47% of the vote in Oregon so I believe he wins the state"
"
Trump was also terrible for the suburbs, Kasich is the exact opposite
And Kasich if he was the nominee probably would be the least hawkish gop nominee since ironically Bush in 2000(not counting trump ) and Kasich favorable were way better than Hillary .
Lastly Oregon has been a +7-8 dem State since like 2004 so if Kasich wins nationally by 7-8 he likely wins the state . I think the main difference comes to how large we think Kasich national win would be by (I think it would be 8-9 points). Even if it’s a 6-7 point national win I still think Kasich wins Oregon due to Stein getting over 5 percent of the vote in Oregon
"
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"Why would Stein get 5% of voters in Oregon against Kasich vs Clinton and not Trump vs Clinton, lol. There's no way she would somehow double her support."
"Cause Kasich is no where near as divisive or as bad of a person as Trump is and Trump being that is why Stein didnt get much of the votes in the first places.
In Oregon I believe Kasich would have gotten 47.5%, Hillary 46.9% , Stein 5% "
"Unless Hillary changed her campaign strategy, she wouldn't have beaten Barry Goldwater. She went into the race assuming she would win, and did nothing to insure that she would. The urban throngs voted for her, but the suburban and rural people didn't."