Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 454067790815690764


2018-06-06 23:37:21 UTC  

very true.

2018-06-06 23:37:25 UTC  

they're on a tear with recent elections

2018-06-06 23:37:29 UTC  

but will it be enough to unseat the significant gop majority?

2018-06-06 23:37:30 UTC  

Looking worse than a regualr midterm

2018-06-06 23:37:31 UTC  

don't think so.

2018-06-06 23:37:35 UTC  

Yes

2018-06-06 23:37:42 UTC  

The average house swing for the first midterm

2018-06-06 23:37:46 UTC  

is 32 seats

2018-06-06 23:37:56 UTC  

i would've said otherwise before these californian elections

2018-06-06 23:37:56 UTC  

According to Paul Ryan^

2018-06-06 23:38:19 UTC  

Furthermore, Republicans lost their incumbent advantage in many of the competitive districts

2018-06-06 23:38:28 UTC  

I think 22 republicans have retired or resigned already

2018-06-06 23:38:38 UTC  

We have a 23 seat majority

2018-06-06 23:40:42 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/432618126295695380/454067139553263647/DfCHxAbU0AE6ljL.jpg

2018-06-06 23:41:11 UTC  

red meat for some Colorado faggots?

2018-06-06 23:42:00 UTC  

26 tossups. in order for the democrats to win the majority, they need to win 18 of the 26 tossups, provided the republican leans/likely republican flip

2018-06-06 23:42:18 UTC  

those tossups will now have been reduced by around 5-6 and have become lean/likely republicans

2018-06-06 23:42:35 UTC  

they'll need all twenty tossups to win a 1-2 seat majority

2018-06-06 23:43:04 UTC  

You need to eat into those lean/likely gop seats in order for the Democrats to win.

2018-06-06 23:43:14 UTC  

lol, it won't be 32 seats.

2018-06-06 23:43:17 UTC  

I bet your mother on it

2018-06-06 23:44:39 UTC  

Yeah, I have it at 26 tossups

2018-06-06 23:45:12 UTC  

Steve Knight's seat is a lean GOP, Rohrabacher lean GOP, Issa lean Democrat, Denham lean GOP

2018-06-06 23:45:15 UTC  

Whoever controls the House in 2019 will have a razor-thin majority

2018-06-06 23:45:18 UTC  

Steve Knight's seat ain't a toss up.

2018-06-06 23:45:51 UTC  

@[Lex] Even if we hold the House

2018-06-06 23:45:57 UTC  

(which we won't)

2018-06-06 23:46:04 UTC  

a Razor thin majority is pointless

2018-06-06 23:46:07 UTC  

it won't function

2018-06-06 23:46:11 UTC  

it's going to become the Senate

2018-06-06 23:46:13 UTC  

That's why you have a whip.

2018-06-06 23:46:17 UTC  

what

2018-06-06 23:46:18 UTC  

That's

2018-06-06 23:46:23 UTC  

that's not how it works xD

2018-06-06 23:46:31 UTC  

The NY and NJ RINO's will tank our agenda

2018-06-06 23:46:42 UTC  

Um no sweetie,

2018-06-06 23:46:52 UTC  

There won't be any Republicans in NJ left

2018-06-06 23:46:54 UTC  

They're already trying to do a amnesty bill now @🎃Boo-ton🎃

2018-06-06 23:46:56 UTC  

We'll see. It's been routinely done before.

2018-06-06 23:47:01 UTC  

Sure.