Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 489581268451721237


2018-09-12 23:26:24 UTC  

Nelson won big too.

2018-09-12 23:26:36 UTC  

This is a fucking midterm, and needless to say, I wasn't speaking only of turnout but of Hispanics voting for DeSantis.

2018-09-12 23:32:31 UTC  

So we have the following factors working against us:
1. Extremely high Democratic turnout
2. Black Democratic nominee to energise blacks even more
3. Midterms with a Republican in office
4. A moderate state with the GOP candidate not viewed as moderate (the same deal with the Democrat opponent)
5. An electorate increasingly swarmed by minority voters
6. 4/5 polls suggesting Gillum will win

2018-09-12 23:32:33 UTC  

A la tossup.

2018-09-12 23:33:22 UTC  

Either way, this is unquestionably a nail-biting election.

2018-09-12 23:35:13 UTC  

Maybe if we're lucky Florence will annihilate the Democratic areas of the east coast and we sweep.

2018-09-12 23:38:07 UTC  

Yep, working as hard as possible to fight all of that

2018-09-12 23:38:29 UTC  

These are all nationwide indicators.

2018-09-12 23:38:34 UTC  

Except 2

2018-09-12 23:38:45 UTC  

The niggers can't beat us if we make up for it with whites

2018-09-12 23:38:46 UTC  

Plus you don't factor anything I cited obviously

2018-09-12 23:39:18 UTC  

Gillum is definitely farther left than DeSantis is farther right thankfully, I'm doing my absolute hardest to drive that home

2018-09-12 23:39:21 UTC  

I factored in all of the indicators working AGAINST us. The ones which favour us are already cited. They collide to form a tossup.

2018-09-12 23:39:58 UTC  

I think of this election as a pure tossup

2018-09-12 23:40:13 UTC  

I am working to get every last vote from every reliable person I know

2018-09-12 23:40:20 UTC  

Every vote counts

2018-09-12 23:40:23 UTC  

2010 census data says that GA is 55% NH white by the way.

2018-09-12 23:40:32 UTC  

And its black population is relatively low due to Hispanics

2018-09-12 23:40:43 UTC  

This is a state where my actions could decide the election

2018-09-12 23:40:57 UTC  

Indeed.

2018-09-12 23:41:10 UTC  

I had a friend who promoted Kobach too.

2018-09-12 23:41:21 UTC  

It's definitely not unheard of for an election to be close enough for one person to make a difference.

2018-09-12 23:41:24 UTC  

@FLanon Are your parents Spanish speakers?

2018-09-12 23:41:54 UTC  

If so, you should see if you can get them to contact some of the Cuban cultural centres in Florida to get votes.

2018-09-12 23:42:03 UTC  

Or are they too busy to participate in campaigning?

2018-09-12 23:42:42 UTC  

I might be able to get one of them to try that out

2018-09-12 23:43:05 UTC  

I will stop at nothing at this point. They're busy people but this is an incredibly important election.

2018-09-13 23:25:29 UTC  

look at these ads, what do you think of them

2018-09-14 01:55:16 UTC  

Updated gubernatorial predictions

2018-09-14 01:55:52 UTC  

Crystal ball predictions.

2018-09-14 02:44:02 UTC  

@Nuke why do you keep putting Georgia as Safe Republican?

2018-09-14 02:46:58 UTC  

@ThatRightWingFish Because I don't care about the issue enough to fix it. It's practically safe.

2018-09-14 02:48:37 UTC  

Ehhhhhhhh

2018-09-14 02:48:38 UTC  

Okay

2018-09-14 19:14:25 UTC  

Here’s what I think is a best case scenario

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/445296215161176064/490238914611904512/image0.png

2018-09-14 20:20:17 UTC  

Surprisingly pessimistic. We can gain Maine, New Mexico, and Minnesota.

2018-09-14 20:51:21 UTC  

Minnesota, I don't think we win Win but I believe it can be close

2018-09-14 21:04:25 UTC  

New Mexico will be an almost definite loss