Message from @Nuke
Discord ID: 489982037877587978
Mothers are the only acceptable female politicians
RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
Michigan: Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat
Why shift Michigan to likely Democrat?
It was bordering, but with the midterms coming so close and John James not receiving much traction, the chances here are dwindling.
It is still on the border, so good news may move this back to lean.
I think all of these seats except for the Safe blue ones can be won
Definitely.
If the candidates hit the road really hard and the Democrats let up, all of those likely and leans can fall to us.
And we can get Senator Johnson, too.
Gary Johnson as a senator I can deal with
He may be a weed-addicted retard, but he’s better than a fucking Democrat
There haven't been many polls in Michigan.
I used historical trends, based on Tim Scott's polls, in projecting John James' ascendancy.
I kinda doubt Maryland will vote Republican.
Maryland, Maine, and Massachssetts won't flip now.
I think Maryland would go red only because of the rare case that they realize Bradley Manning is a total retard
Maine is possible.
I can see King voters selecting Brakey as their second choice, and the Democrat placing with his party affiliation alone.
This one is mine, by the way.
Wait is Maryland the state where Bradley Manning is running?
@Nuke @Pielover19 I used to think that Maine could flip due to Angus King and Zak Ringelstein splitting the vote, but then I found out they do rank choiced voting, so that removes that possibility
here's how ranked choice voting works - each voter ranks the candidates in order from most preferred to least preferred (1st choice, 2nd choice, 3rd choice, etc). When voting is finished, they look at the ones voters ranked as their 1st choice.
If there is no 1st choice winner with a majority of 50%+, then they look at the 2nd choices and add those votes. If there still isn't a majority winner, they keep going until there is
so basically, let's say it's Round 1.
It's Angus King at 40%, Zak Ringelstein at 15%, Eric Brakey at 45%.
No majority. So you move to Round 2.
Unfortunately, the Zak Ringelstein voters will probably have Angus King as their #2 choice, so then it becomes
Angus King (40+15=55%), Eric Brakey 45%+however many had him as #2, but then Angus King now has over 50%, so he wins
Is Bradley Manning a Traitor to America?
Jeb! Means Yes, Hilpepe means no.
lol
Make this as a poll
My idea is the opposite.
Ringelstein at 35%, Brakey at 40%, and King at 25%
@Nuke vote on if Bradley Manning is a Traitor.
If 40% of King voters then choose Brakey, then Brakey wins.
oh wait...yeah, some King voters might have Brakey as their #2
rodney king
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/claire-mccaskill-and-josh-hawley-spar-in-first-senate-debate/
<@&462745116768075776> have you seen this yet
"""
Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill and Republican opponent Josh Hawley faced off in their first debate Friday afternoon. The two spent much of the debate attacking each other, with Hawley finishing several answers by calling McCaskill a "Washington liberal" out of touch with Missouri values. Both candidates emphasized their relationships with President Trump, with Hawley embracing Trump talking points on immigration and other issues, and McCaskill trying to assert her independence from both the president and the Democrats. "I'm the only candidate in this race that has a proven track record of bipartisan accomplishments," McCaskill said.
"What Missourians want is a senator who hasn't forgotten where he's from," Hawley said in his opening statement. He accused McCaskill of being a partisan actor and an antagonist to Mr. Trump, who won Missouri by 19 points in 2016. McCaskill is considered to be one of the most vulnerable Democrats up for re-election in the Senate this year.
"""
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/406856-jeb-bush-campaigns-with-rick-scott-in-florida
@FLanon will this hurt or help
hard to say either way to be honest
probably will have minimal effect