https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4GQ-PN786g

<@&462745116768075776> what do you think of this ad

btw I notice that many of these ads are downvoted by lefties

pls upvoat

Not bad

I personally like Blackburn a lot. She has that motherly vibe.

She'd contribute some much needed tenderness to the GOP.

Mothers are the only acceptable female politicians

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
Michigan: Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/2A55q2

Why shift Michigan to likely Democrat?

It was bordering, but with the midterms coming so close and John James not receiving much traction, the chances here are dwindling.

It is still on the border, so good news may move this back to lean.

I think all of these seats except for the Safe blue ones can be won

Definitely.

If the candidates hit the road really hard and the Democrats let up, all of those likely and leans can fall to us.

And we can get Senator Johnson, too.

Gary Johnson as a senator I can deal with

He may be a weed-addicted retard, but he’s better than a fucking Democrat

There haven't been many polls in Michigan.

I used historical trends, based on Tim Scott's polls, in projecting John James' ascendancy.

Here’s what I believe is a Best Case Scenario

I kinda doubt Maryland will vote Republican.

Maryland, Maine, and Massachssetts won't flip now.

I think Maryland would go red only because of the rare case that they realize Bradley Manning is a total retard

Maine is possible.

I can see King voters selecting Brakey as their second choice, and the Democrat placing with his party affiliation alone.

This would actually shift the election to the GOP.

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/lp66O2

This one is mine, by the way.

Wait is Maryland the state where Bradley Manning is running?

@Nuke @Pielover19 I used to think that Maine could flip due to Angus King and Zak Ringelstein splitting the vote, but then I found out they do rank choiced voting, so that removes that possibility

here's how ranked choice voting works - each voter ranks the candidates in order from most preferred to least preferred (1st choice, 2nd choice, 3rd choice, etc). When voting is finished, they look at the ones voters ranked as their 1st choice.

If there is no 1st choice winner with a majority of 50%+, then they look at the 2nd choices and add those votes. If there still isn't a majority winner, they keep going until there is

so basically, let's say it's Round 1.

It's Angus King at 40%, Zak Ringelstein at 15%, Eric Brakey at 45%.

No majority. So you move to Round 2.

Unfortunately, the Zak Ringelstein voters will probably have Angus King as their #2 choice, so then it becomes

Angus King (40+15=55%), Eric Brakey 45%+however many had him as #2, but then Angus King now has over 50%, so he wins

Is Bradley Manning a Traitor to America?
Jeb! Means Yes, Hilpepe means no.

lol

Make this as a poll

My idea is the opposite.

Ringelstein at 35%, Brakey at 40%, and King at 25%

@Nuke vote on if Bradley Manning is a Traitor.

If 40% of King voters then choose Brakey, then Brakey wins.

oh wait...yeah, some King voters might have Brakey as their #2