Message from @Julien Blanc

Discord ID: 499984362499211264


2018-10-11 10:19:14 UTC  

Ah, it's closed.

2018-10-11 10:19:30 UTC  

That's probably the best result I could have expected for that Nevada poll

2018-10-11 10:21:55 UTC  

Yep

2018-10-11 10:22:08 UTC  

+2 is stellar.

2018-10-11 10:30:31 UTC  

Having Heller in the + at all is tremendous

2018-10-11 11:38:19 UTC  

Rcp has them tied. This race has always been competitive, but I was getting blackpilled not seeing anything but Rosen+2 for half a year. Big turn around!

2018-10-11 15:35:36 UTC  

Yeah, given the fact that we've seen all these polls with the likes of Stabenow and Sherrod Brown up double digits in states Trump won, having Heller up in a state Hillary won is good news

2018-10-11 15:36:24 UTC  

Yeah but those polls came out in June

2018-10-11 15:36:33 UTC  

They probably have changed since then

2018-10-11 15:36:51 UTC  

Yeah

2018-10-11 15:37:14 UTC  

The Kavanaugh effect had to have hit those states somehow

2018-10-11 15:37:19 UTC  

They both voted no

2018-10-11 15:37:28 UTC  

We've all seen these polls with Beta within 5 points of beating Ted. So the NYTimes poll showing Ted 9 points ahead is also gr8

2018-10-11 15:37:46 UTC  

I think we have a decent chance at keeping the House now

2018-10-11 15:38:03 UTC  

Yeah I think a lot of elections are either gonna be won or be a lot closer

2018-10-11 15:49:49 UTC  

This guy is really optimistic for the democrats in Senate 2020

2018-10-11 15:50:50 UTC  

Hawley +2

2018-10-11 16:39:35 UTC  

Quinnipiac had a poll last month with Cruz+9

2018-10-11 16:39:45 UTC  

and they released a new poll today that also has Cruz+9

2018-10-11 16:39:53 UTC  

NYTimes/Siena seems to be zoning in on Cruz+9

2018-10-11 16:39:58 UTC  
2018-10-11 16:44:58 UTC  

My Senate prediction:

2018-10-11 16:45:44 UTC  

Although I'd say West Virginia will likely go Rep, I don't have the confidence to make it lean R yet

2018-10-11 16:45:56 UTC  

I think we have a better shot at taking down Tester than Manchin

2018-10-11 16:46:09 UTC  

I agree

2018-10-11 16:46:30 UTC  

If Manchin decided to vote against Kavanaugh we'd have a much better shot

2018-10-11 16:46:35 UTC  

Alas...

2018-10-11 16:48:53 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207280855187466/499986761364144128/Screenshot_2018-10-11_at_12.48.30_PM.png

2018-10-11 16:54:58 UTC  

Liberal Tester is not likely D

2018-10-11 17:00:20 UTC  

Eh, I dunno

2018-10-11 17:00:28 UTC  

Show me something that proves otherwise

2018-10-11 17:04:46 UTC  

Every poll and projection since September

2018-10-11 17:05:02 UTC  

And of course

2018-10-11 17:05:28 UTC  

Even (D) internals are now showing Tester in the margin of error