Message from @Yellowhammer

Discord ID: 493888127341953034


2018-09-24 20:48:45 UTC  

you don't live in nj-05 even

2018-09-24 20:49:10 UTC  

Are you agreeing with me Ralph?

2018-09-24 20:49:29 UTC  

The reality is, that we’re dealing with a blue wave. Every sign indicates that. Every poll, every GCB, trump approval, and the fundamentals of being in a midterm under an unpopular president

2018-09-24 20:49:33 UTC  

Good, somebody sees the truth.

2018-09-24 20:49:35 UTC  

We will lose lots of seats

2018-09-24 20:49:57 UTC  

we should get buttonmash or whatever his name was back on

2018-09-24 20:50:07 UTC  

I think he'd love talking to you about karen.

2018-09-24 20:50:25 UTC  

If you're gonna talk about it like that, join the natsoc revolution server.

2018-09-24 20:50:43 UTC  

If you think

2018-09-24 20:50:46 UTC  

we're so doomed

2018-09-24 20:50:51 UTC  

the only way we can win

2018-09-24 20:50:57 UTC  

is some sort of revolution

2018-09-24 20:51:01 UTC  

Then leave

2018-09-24 20:52:31 UTC  

But it's time to accept facts Yellowhammer. The main reason we lost 05 is because of low voter turnout from right-wingers. If we can get high right wing voter turnout, we can win NJ-05 because it simply has more right wingers.

2018-09-24 20:52:48 UTC  

It is mostly rural, but it's more like small town rural, not complete desert wilderness with absolutely no people.

2018-09-24 20:53:03 UTC  

Think rural england.

2018-09-24 20:53:35 UTC  

Of course, right wingers are notorious for low voter turnout.

2018-09-24 20:53:45 UTC  

no, they're not.

2018-09-24 20:53:47 UTC  

At least in new jersey.

2018-09-24 20:54:33 UTC  

And despite it being so rural and so "right wing", it voted Trump 49-48.

2018-09-24 20:55:05 UTC  

There’s like a 2% chance it flips. We have a bad candidate with bad fundraising running against a moderate who is an ok fit for the district, in a dem wave year that is hitting suburbia hard. I’m not giving up, just saying we need to be strategic in which races we target. This one is not a hill to die on.

2018-09-24 20:55:30 UTC  

if the majority of municipalities in it are right wing with more then 50% voting right wing

2018-09-24 20:55:34 UTC  

I consider it right wing.

2018-09-24 20:55:39 UTC  

And if the majority of land in it is rural

2018-09-24 20:55:42 UTC  

it's not more than 50%

2018-09-24 20:55:47 UTC  

I consider it rural.

2018-09-24 20:55:51 UTC  

let's see

2018-09-24 20:55:58 UTC  

It is rural but it's rural like Vermont is rural.

2018-09-24 20:56:38 UTC  

In the 2012 presidential election, Republican Mitt Romney received 3,269 votes (62.8% vs. 59.4% countywide), ahead of Democrat Barack Obama with 1,800 votes (34.6% vs. 38.2%) and other candidates with 119 votes (2.3% vs. 2.1%), among the 5,203 ballots cast by the township's 7,467 registered voters, for a turnout of 69.7% (vs. 68.3% in Sussex County).[66] In the 2008 presidential election, Republican John McCain received 3,454 votes (62.2% vs. 59.2% countywide), ahead of Democrat Barack Obama with 1,987 votes (35.8% vs. 38.7%) and other candidates with 74 votes (1.3% vs. 1.5%), among the 5,551 ballots cast by the township's 7,319 registered voters, for a turnout of 75.8% (vs. 76.9% in Sussex County).[67] In the 2004 presidential election, Republican George W. Bush received 3,300 votes (67.0% vs. 63.9% countywide), ahead of Democrat John Kerry with 1,564 votes (31.7% vs. 34.4%) and other candidates with 48 votes (1.0% vs. 1.3%), among the 4,928 ballots cast by the township's 6,500 registered voters, for a turnout of 75.8% (vs. 77.7% in the whole county).[68] for wantage township

2018-09-24 20:57:09 UTC  

That's six years ago. And over the past 16 years, it's voted in presidential elections progressively LESS Republican.

2018-09-24 20:57:14 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207253860515851/493888666461143060/wantage_nj.png

2018-09-24 20:57:29 UTC  

So you're saying the countryside is getting more left wing?

2018-09-24 20:57:44 UTC  

It's not new england liberal, lol.

2018-09-24 20:57:46 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207253860515851/493888800641253388/unknown.png

2018-09-24 20:57:54 UTC  

it's evidently getting more left wing

2018-09-24 20:57:56 UTC  

that's the whole district

2018-09-24 20:58:06 UTC  

and that's because the suburbs are getting more people

2018-09-24 20:58:08 UTC  

and the whole district is what elects the congressional rep

2018-09-24 20:58:29 UTC  

are you really saying that gop turnout will be HIGHER than 2016 levels for this midterm?

2018-09-24 20:59:51 UTC  

I'm saying if we can get very high voter turnout among the large areas of the district that are right-wing culturally and politically.

2018-09-24 20:59:54 UTC  

We can possibly win.