it seems everyone knows Ted and many other GOP incumbents are staying, so why bother going out to vote for them?

<@&414478847266783243> any thoughts on this from any Texan in this Discord ?

oh wait, Cruz is way ahead right now, though the DEM total is still higher than the GOP total

all that still with less than 1% reporting

Yeah there's not much worth speculating on atm with so little reportinf.

My thoughts? Demographic shifts are real and have impacts.

yikes

I think the Dem is going to outnumber the GOP in TX-23

TX-32, oh jesus

lol, at this moment, Ted Cruz has more primary votes than all the D candidates combined

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 uh huh, doesn't mean we'll lose

Upstate NY aka everything but NYC and Long Island is very red, especially with the SAFE act

We have a Republican representative in 27th NY, but from what ik he's no winning with a landslide

@Mercer there are some black areas in Western NY right?

BREAKING

BETO WINS DEM NOMINATION

https://ballotpedia.org/New_York%27s_27th_Congressional_District

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 no shit

anyway, looks like Chris Collins won with 67.2% @Mercer

he seems like he's in a good spot

Yeah, there are black areas like East Side of Buffalo

and there are "WT" areas in the inner suburbs that are usually Dems

but other than that, its Republican or Libertarian

Like you said, he won with 67.2% but the majority of the people don't like Trump and blame all of the Republican Party for it, all of them.

Oklahoma HD-51 is now fully reported. GOP hold here will a 72.13%-27.87% margin.

This represents a 20.71% margin shift from the 2016 Presidential margin in the district.

**AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH**

@everyone I'm coming up with a Gubernatorial List right now

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 no boost from Trump, no shit

not surprising to see special elections for state legislatures go that way

@Deleted User SAY IT WITH ME

BLUE WAVE

you should go "AHHHH" to Ronna Romney McDaniel

🌊 🌊 🌊

@Mercer btw don't mind Button Mash, he's the resident low-T panicker

i think it's going to be closer in the Senate than we think

@Deleted User @Mercer
Average shift in 2018 specials is 26%.
Average since 2016 is 13%
This + polling predicts a 10-11% D win in November. That’s ~230 seat territory

lol it doesn't mean it'll turn out that way

I'm a mathematics tutor, but

elections are about more than just numbers

they're about the human factor more than anything

psychology is more important than math