Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 437690629926158356


2018-04-22 19:00:54 UTC  

It sort of proves or disproves to the voters why Trump should have any authority to helm the ship.

2018-04-22 19:01:25 UTC  

If he fails on this, there's not much else he can do to prove that to the voters at large and this becomes a salvaging campaign.

2018-04-22 19:01:39 UTC  

All eyes on NK.

2018-04-22 19:01:55 UTC  

Midterms are already just a damage control camapign

2018-04-22 19:02:04 UTC  

Can we at least just keep the house and/or senate

2018-04-22 19:02:45 UTC  

Even the Senate isn't a sure thing despite the good map

2018-04-22 19:02:53 UTC  

Yeah, we're going to lose a crap ton of seats in the House for sure

2018-04-22 19:03:02 UTC  

And in the Senate too

2018-04-22 19:03:05 UTC  

I'd say the Senate is a tossup

2018-04-22 19:03:14 UTC  

Nevada, Arizona, Tennessee and Texas could potentially flip

2018-04-22 19:03:15 UTC  

Under the worst circumstances,

2018-04-22 19:03:24 UTC  

we can lose NV, AZ, TN, AZ and MS

2018-04-22 19:03:27 UTC  

Tennessee is looking very competitive

2018-04-22 19:04:44 UTC  

Oh geez

2018-04-22 19:04:56 UTC  

Y'all see the anti gun bill in Minnesota

2018-04-22 19:05:07 UTC  

Not a hope in hell that passed

2018-04-22 19:05:08 UTC  

*passes

2018-04-22 19:05:51 UTC  

All Republicans and the rural DFL members will vote agains

2018-04-22 19:06:01 UTC  

@Deleted User You think we'll lose AZ-08?

2018-04-22 19:06:09 UTC  

quite possibly

2018-04-22 19:06:18 UTC  

That's what I've been thinking too

2018-04-22 19:06:20 UTC  

I heard the early voting numbers looked good for us

2018-04-22 19:06:31 UTC  

But Hiral campaign has seriously stepped up since then

2018-04-22 19:06:33 UTC  

still enough to swing it

2018-04-22 19:06:55 UTC  

results will be close I think

2018-04-22 19:07:04 UTC  

This is how the district swung from 2012 to 2016

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/437690826378838016/2012-2016.png

2018-04-22 19:07:14 UTC  

It's not Trump country

2018-04-22 19:07:49 UTC  

It's still Republican country in theory

2018-04-22 19:08:47 UTC  

I'm predicting that if Democrats manage to flip it, it'll look like this

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/437691255531634689/blue_az.png

2018-04-22 19:10:05 UTC  

Yeah

2018-04-22 19:10:41 UTC  

High hispanic turnout will be key to winning this

2018-04-22 19:10:51 UTC  

for the dems

2018-04-22 19:13:54 UTC  

A dem victory here will also be a bad omen for Governors and senate races.

2018-04-22 19:14:45 UTC  

2 out 10 people in this district are Hispanic, very likely it's the same for the electorate

2018-04-22 19:14:56 UTC  

Also Kyrsten Sinema has outraised Martha McSally

2018-04-22 19:15:15 UTC  

6.3 million (Sinema) vs 4.2 million (McSally)

2018-04-22 19:16:06 UTC  

Do you know where you can look up the fundraising reports?

2018-04-22 19:16:22 UTC  

Thank you

2018-04-22 19:16:22 UTC  

Opensecrets is very good for congress elections

2018-04-22 19:16:55 UTC  

Every competitive senate race except nevada and new jersey have us outraised