Bob Menendez (D-NJ) is being outraised

So we won in Arizona 8 but why all the sudden is Macron and Trump best friends?

can we stop it with the doomposting for fuck's sake

I can't believe I didn't realize this during the campaign, but this is another district where the incumbent resigned in a scandal. When that happens, there is usually a major swing in the district for the opposing party. For example, Anthony Weiner, who was in a district which he always won by at least 20 points and has a PVI of D+34, after he resigned, a Republican, Bob Turner, won that district. The idea is that when there's a scandalous resignation, like PA-18 or AZ-08, those districts, even if they were squarely in one side before, swing to the other side. Now, does this mean we have any excuse for losing a district? No, but it means we shouldn't apocalypse-post when the margins aren't as good as in previous elections. Just work at it and work at it hard, that's what I'm saying.

Thank you

I feel like even when we win we’re not allowed to celebrate it or at least be glad.

There’s always some excuse of how we still somehow lost.

https://youtu.be/X-XwgZSe0is

You guys remember this?

I remember just watching this so many times

I think this is hillarious http://metro.co.uk/2018/04/25/hand-holding-hugs-kisses-highlight-trump-macrons-bromance-7495479/

They were like kissing and holding hands!

It looked more like a power play thing than a gay thing

Like he would refuse a handshake sometimes when Macron initiated it

It's still fucking hilarious though

"No serious guys till you're 30"

#NVsen 2018 General Election:

Dean Heller (R) 40% (+1)
Jacky Rosen (D) 39%

@TheNVIndy Poll https://t.co/QDsDMf5bVR

From now on we focus on the Senate and the Senate only

The House is a lost cause

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 gotta still work on the House

@Deleted User Nope

yep

yep

But it's over for us

There's been an average 17-point Democrat swing thus far

If that average holds up, Republicans will end up a superminority

By your logic then the Senate is a lost cause if the Democrats are swinging 17 points in every race

We won't lose the Senate

We'll lose AZ, NV, maybe TX, but we can probably flip WV or something

How? If there is 17 point swings in every race

Most seats up in the Senate Trump won by more than 20 points

We'll probably lose the MS seat too

If the swing holds up, we'll lose TX, AZ, NV, and one if not both MS seats. We'll hold TN, but barely. And we'll need to flip 3 seats. Probably WV, IN, and MO

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 48%
Disapprove 50%

@Rasmussen_Poll 4/22-24
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2

I'm going to work to make sure Marsha Blackburn gets elected

I think she'll be a great Senator for Tennessee