Message from @Ella
Discord ID: 468198490074251274
Don't forget Homewreaker Harris
I'm not thinking of any dark horse candidate (Oprah Winfrey, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang)
-Corey Hooker
-Shitrrod Brown
- Julian Asstro
- Andrew Homo
- Hilary 2.0
- Homewreaker Harris, Mala Kamala
-and of course Pocahontas
<@&462745116768075776> What do you guys think of those nicknames? lol
so I really think it boils down to
Corey Booker, Julian Castro, Kirsten Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren
so... let's see
Iowa Caucus: Hmm, I think Elizabeth Warren takes this because of her platform
I would also add Amy Klobuchar
New Hampshire Primary: Elizabeth Warren is based in New England, so I think she takes this
or should I say...
Amy Homochar
Nevada Primary: mayyybe Julian Castro takes this, I don't know much about him though
Who’s Hillary 2.0
Gillibrand
@Ella Kirsten Gillibrand. Senator from New York. Female, blonde hair. Corporate Democrat
Ohhh
she's the younger version of Hillary
South Carolina Primary: one of the black candidates. I'm going to go with Corey Booker, but it'll be quite a split
It’s like Cory booker is easy and Cory hooker is easy to tell
she took her senate seat after Hilary became Secretary of State
SUPER TUESDAY
Alabama: Corey Booker by a little bit, with Kamala Harris closely behind. IThe rest will be split with the others though.
American Samoa: hmm, same as Alabama I guess?
Arkansas: same as Alabama
Colorado: Elizabeth Warren by quite a bit
Georgia: same as Alabama, though I think a corporate Democrat like Booker does even better than in the other southern states
Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren in a landslide
Minnesota: Elizabeth Warren by quite a bit
Oklahoma: Elizabeth Warren by a little bit
Tennessee: same as Alabama
Texas: Julian Castro by a little bit
Vermont: Elizabeth Warren in a landslide
Virginia: same as Georgia
and by this point, a few of the lower level Democrats drop out
I think Kamala Harris would win in Georgia by a good amount
Just look at Stacey Abrams
I'd say Julian Castro probably drops out...although, hmm. Maybe he still stays. Maybe Kirsten Gillibrand considers dropping out
so I think the main contenders are now Corey Booker, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand
Whom Harris helped campaign for
The most popular politician right now amoung the "woke " black crowd is Mad Maxine
I think she would endorse and support Harris over Booker
Since they're both from California and she's endorsed her in the past
With that I think Harris would have the most support among Black voters , and win most of the southern states,
Mid-March Contests
Florida: corporate Democrat vote split among Booker, Harris, and Gillibrand. Warren is #1
Illinois: Warren by quite a bit
Kansas: Warren by quite a bit
Louisiana: Booker, with Harris slightly behind.
Maine: Warren by quite a bit
Michigan: Warren by quite a bit
Mississippi: same as Lousiana
Missouri: Warren by a little bit
Nebraska: Warren by quite a bit
North Carolina: Booker, with Harris slightly behind.
North Mariana Islands: uhh, Booker with Harris slightly behind I guess
Ohio: I think it's mostly split evenly, with Warren taking a slight edge
so by this point, Warren becomes the definitive frontrunner.
Julian Castro and Kirsten Gillibrand will have probably dropped out
they'll probably endorse Warren. Donors might start pressuring Harris to drop out so it becomes Booker vs Warren
You also have to remeber that Black women vote a lot more than Black men so I think that will give Harris an advantage over Booker with Black voters
so now, let's assume it's Elizabeth Warren, Corey Booker, Kamala Harris
Late March / Early April contests
Alaska: Warren by a landslide
Arizona: Warren by a little bit
Democrats Abroad: Warren by quite a bit
Hawaii: Warren by a landslide
Idaho: Warren by a landslide
Utah: Warren by a landslide:
Wisconsin: Warren by a landslide
Wyoming: Warren by quite a bit
@Walter Johnson hmm, maybe you can replace Booker's leads with Harris, so you can say that it's Harris with a slight lead in many of these states with Booker slightly behind
so after those races^ ...I think pressure is enormously put on Booker or Harris to withdraw. Let's assume that @Walter Johnson is right and give all those southern states with blacks to Harris instead, so it's her at #1 in them instead of Booker
so it boils down to two women, Warren and Harris. I think there will be talk of Harris being Warren's running mate
All this is assuming Sanders and Biden don't run though, right?
Late April and May:
New York: Harris, but not as much of a disparity as in 2016 where Hillary had 58% and Sanders had 42%
Connecticut: Warren by a little bit
Delaware: same as New York
Pennsylvania: neck and neck, Harris at a slight lead
Rhode Island: Warren by quite a bit
Indiana: Warren by a little bit
Guam: Harris by a little bit
West Virginia: Warren by quite a bit
Kentucky: neck and neck
Oregon: Warren by quite a bit
Warren becomes the presumptive nominee, and I think she probably offers the VP slot to Harris at this point