@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Seems Trump was right about something when you weren't eh ? ;)

Before the Access Hollywood tapes, I thought Trump would take Michigan and Pennsylvania

It all seemed downhill from there

I wonder what the true electoral impact those tapes had.

In terms of vote number.

Perhaps a few dozen thousand?

I bet it hammered at the college educated whites pretty hard.

Probably what lost him New Hampshire.

Almost certainly.

Insignificant things like that tend to influence condescending people the most

Given the narrow degree by which he lost.

With results that close it had to

Their senator lost by 0.1%

Although I still wrongly predicted he would win the state

Well to be fair, it was "lean republican"

White university attendance is falling now, no?

I don't understand why people thought Clinton would win North Carolina

Since it seems that college whites are becoming increasingly less Republican but simultaneously whites are becoming less college educated.

Same reason they thought she could win Iowa

And Georiga

Delusion

@[Lex] yeah but not at the same rate I'd guess.

They vastly overestimated Trump's unpopularity among voters.

@[Lex] Yeah the two polls done had the vote tie then it had Vote No win 56% to 38%

NH _does_ have a large unaffiliated, non-evangelical White population, which definitely hurts Republicans

Hopefully we have an upset.

Also the Unions outspent the the Right-To-Work side 3:1, $15mil vs $5

There are some rather vulnerable Democratic/GOP seats in Missouri if I recall correctly.

IN what state?

or Federally

RTW legislation will present enough of an electoral advantage to dominate the state more comfortably methinks.

The Missouri Senate seat up in 2018, Democrat Claire McCaskill, is probably one of the most vulnerable nationwide

With that level of outspending, it's no wonder our chances appear bleak.

It'll be very humiliating if we somehow manage to pick up the win.

Yeah but the GOP made it interesting by having the RTW vote on the primary date, August 7th, and NOT the general election

UNfortunately it will be a source of hope for the growing DemSoc movement.

I'd say Donnelly is the most vulnerable Democrat

This is to not drive support towards the Democrats for the Senate race

Did it pass?

Clever timing.

The vote is this coming Tuesday