Message from @ThatRightWingFish
Discord ID: 475006978499018753
@ThatRightWingFish Haven't had time at all to work on it between work/door knocking. I've put it on hold until idk when, since school is starting up.
Ah
NAFTA Deal will be huge
If we can get it done before the midterms, we are in good shape
Problem though is that I feel like the Rs running in the Rust Belt are not very good
The White working class/White union vote is the next frontier for the GOP. Swing states gradually change over time, with states like Iowa and Indiana turning more Safe GOP and New Mexico and Viriginia turning Safe Dem while states like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania move rightward to become more swingy.
I don't know much about those races to say either way.
All I know is Trump endorsed a black guy for Michigan Senate race
Sad!
Absolutely, we won a good amount of the WWC but we still have work to do
I wonder how Ohio was always a swing state
Comparing Trump to Romney's share of the vote from specific groups, Trump gained:
14 points with Whites w/ No College Degree
16 points with Under $30K
6 Points with $30K-$49K
10 Points with Union Households
Ohio: Somewhat strong Union presence + 12% Black population with high voter turnout + a few big cities which spawns liberals = swing state
Why did we allow the 14th and 15th Amendments?
Cause half the country couldn't vote then (the South, not blacks lmao)
Trump WWC Vote in the Rust Belt
Pennsylvania 60.2%
Ohio 63.2%
Michigan 60.2%
Wisconsin 56.4%
Iowa 58.4%
Most of the black population is stuck in my cities
@ThatRightWingFish Source?
My Graph
Cleveland and Cincinnati are well known for being horrible cities (not so much Cleveland these days but it has its ghetto areas)
Does WWC = White w/ No College Degree?
yeah
Idk if those two groups flow perfectly together, but it's still a pretty good indicator.
White Non College Educated Voters make up the White Working Class, the White Non College Educated Population in the Rust Belt is huge
Even with the Steel Tariffs, NAFTA deal soon and Tariffs on Chinese goods, Trump still has a negative approval rating with Whites in the Rust Belt
White College Educated Voters are a Huge Threat
The have been trending left
Yeah idk how I feel about approval ratings, because people may disagree with his Tweets, but like his economic policies, which the latter would matter more in a presidential election, and the former outside of election season.
I bet you a 100 dollars, if Trump only tweeted about important things, he would have a better approval rating
I have never liked the idea of a Twitter President
He just says to much stupid shit that takes up TV time instead of talking about NAFTA
Also, the Trump admin is really focusing on Auto in the NAFTA talks, which is great.
raising auto wages in Mexico could actually bring back jobs to America because the main reason most companies go to Mexico is due to lower wages.
That's a corny ass name for a car website. "The Drive" lmao
lol
well
I like the "Protectionist Threats for Free Trade Results" approach.
Yep
Simple yet so many people missed it when looking at the tariffs at face value.