check this out btw

Wow that is bad

Worrisome but not necessarily reflective of the upcomign results.

@FLanon sample is still small

plus

undecideds

MN-01 was R +14 in a recent poll.

so pinch of salt

This is MN-08

I know.

But it's just an example of an outrageous poll recently in Minnesota.

MN-01 is a pure toss up.

I suppose we'll see

@FLanon read beyond the headline numbers

I think our resources in flipping districts will be well spent in NH

Given how erratic the polls have been, we'll have to wait until they stabilise.

"It’s still early, though. Each candidate’s total could easily be seven points different if we polled everyone in the district. And having a small sample is only one possible source of error."

If they don't, we'll just have to wait until the day of the election.

"The margin of sampling error on the overall lead is 12 points, roughly twice as large as the margin for a single candidate’s vote share. One reason we’re doing these surveys live is so you can see the uncertainty for yourself."

"About 15 percent of voters said that they were undecided or refused to tell us whom they would vote for.

If they were to break 4 to 1 in favor of Republicans, that alone would be enough to change the lead in our poll, assuming we did everything else perfectly. (We could also be wrong on turnout or our sample could be unrepresentative. Or other voters could change their minds.)"

These tossups are EXTREMELY close.

This is one of the closest midterms in history.

we'd rather it be a Stauber lead, but...

We need to get that turnout drive on the road sooner rather than later if we want to claim we had a strongly positive effect this election.

And this is why I don’t care for polls

Ah, yes, he is summoned.

The word "polls" is your summoning incantation.

@[Lex] that's your project, isn't it? Is Eagle Eye giving you guys trouble

Eagle banned Lex for banter

He certainly is but I need to make sure everyone is collaborating. This is a big project.

We could potentially be messaging 1000 people.

Yep. And from there should people be telling their relatives and close friends, we could be seeing many thousands of additional votes cast

And considering these elections I assume will be decided by razor-thin margins, we need every vote we can get

Which means we need to decide what the message will be, who will be tasked with which servers and so forth.

I can start today with this server and see if I can message as many people as possible.

I'll prepare a message now.

"We're rallying people to get them and their families/friends to go out and vote for the GOP, will you pledge us to do that?"

Considering that's the main point of this server, you can threaten with a ban if they don't comply

Okay, can someone create a rank so we can verify someone as voting/family voting for GOP?

A rank to express 1. This person has pledged to vote GOP in November
2. Cannot vote but actively convincing voters around him to vote

"Verified Voter"
"Vote Persuader"