Message from @PiT

Discord ID: 495425850544488458


2018-09-29 02:02:48 UTC  

@Yellowhammer is your real username 'zakattack04'

2018-09-29 02:07:45 UTC  

I don't think he intended to do so, but I think Jeff Flake may have ended up screwing over Joe Donnelly by mistake

2018-09-29 02:08:08 UTC  

since didn't Donnelly make the lack of FBI investigation the reason not to back Kavanaugh - in already coming out with a no?

2018-09-29 02:08:59 UTC  

so if the FBI report doesn't change anything - what does he do? Vote Yes and piss off liberals while seeming insincere in doing so? or stick no with no good explanation?

2018-09-29 02:11:53 UTC  
2018-09-29 02:12:22 UTC  

we had a californian blackpiller furry a while back who acted similarly

2018-09-29 02:13:34 UTC  

What, to me?

2018-09-29 02:13:42 UTC  

yeah

2018-09-29 02:14:06 UTC  

No. I am “yellowhammer” on discord, Atlas, and RRH

2018-09-29 02:14:32 UTC  

What, was he also honest about how the races are going?

2018-09-29 02:15:09 UTC  

he described himself as such, yeah

2018-09-29 02:18:04 UTC  

@reagent if nothing changes, I assume things play out like yesterday's hearing

2018-09-29 02:18:20 UTC  

Democrats claim victory and act justified in opposing Kavanaugh

2018-09-29 02:39:36 UTC  

Well, if Manchin votes yes for Kavanaugh it'll solidify my initial predictions regarding the state of WV politically.

2018-09-29 02:40:10 UTC  

Manchin is the strongest Democratic incumbent given the state he's in

2018-09-29 02:40:45 UTC  

If Flake or Collins doesn't flip, this is one of the best outcomes we could have expected.

2018-09-29 02:41:36 UTC  

Donnelly, McCaskill, Heitkamp, all ripe for the picking

2018-09-29 02:42:28 UTC  

Not a perfect party line vote but decent nevertheless.

2018-09-29 02:44:29 UTC  

Heller offering one final act of service before he is likely unseated by the Nevadan Jew.

2018-09-29 02:45:11 UTC  

listening to Flake, I doubt he flips

2018-09-29 02:45:27 UTC  

his rationale sounds more like he wants Dems to shut up about it not being investigated than anything

2018-09-29 02:46:21 UTC  

I agree.

2018-09-29 02:47:05 UTC  

I think we'll have a clean 52-48 vote.

2018-09-29 02:47:59 UTC  

Which is a very decent outcome for the GOP. I highly doubt it but maybe we can convince Manchin to defect the next time around.

2018-09-29 02:49:59 UTC  

well, hopefully next time we won't need to worry about Manchin defecting

2018-09-29 02:50:28 UTC  

I think nominating the replacement for RBG will be effortless if the GOP has at least 54 Senate seats after Nov 6 2018

2018-09-29 02:50:51 UTC  

Which is rather feasible.

2018-09-29 02:51:10 UTC  

Even likely I'd argue.

2018-09-29 02:51:31 UTC  

we need 52 seats presumably

2018-09-29 02:51:39 UTC  

everyone replacing our incumbents is better

2018-09-29 02:51:43 UTC  

of the seats up

2018-09-29 02:51:51 UTC  

and then there's still Collins and Murkowski

2018-09-29 02:52:16 UTC  

The RBG replacement will be very contentious.

2018-09-29 02:52:51 UTC  

Since her replacement will certainly put Roe v Wade into question.

2018-09-29 02:52:51 UTC  

Romney is not an improvement over Hatch

2018-09-29 02:53:58 UTC  

Well, this IS the man who said in 2012 there's no such thing as the establishment GOP.

2018-09-29 02:54:01 UTC  

such a large step

2018-09-29 02:54:08 UTC  

cant wait for kavanaugh to be put in the SC

2018-09-29 02:54:57 UTC  

I'd give it a 70-30 chance.

2018-09-29 02:55:27 UTC  

@Yellowhammer I guess that's true - though he doesn't strike me as likely to do what Flake did

2018-09-29 02:55:51 UTC  

and I think while Romney is temperamentally establishment, I think he is more conservative than he gets credit for