Message from @WARCORP™

Discord ID: 409495002503184384


2018-02-02 00:35:53 UTC  

In other words, Ross Perot lost because he could never control Congress. Reform Canada won because precisely the opposite was true--Commons elects the Prime Minister.

2018-02-02 00:36:34 UTC  

But if Ross Perot became President in 1992 or 1996, would we have a Justin Trudeau like monster today?

2018-02-02 00:37:42 UTC  

The Canadian Tories, formed by the merger of the Reform/CA party with the Prog. Cons., have been failing to outlaw abortion and gay marriage pretty much continuously for decades.

2018-02-02 00:38:03 UTC  

And they can actually just suspend human rights and ban those things in Canada, as their Supreme Court is weak.

2018-02-02 00:38:31 UTC  

And they didn't even disclose Canadian immigration stats until they were leaked by dissidents under Trudeau

2018-02-02 00:38:40 UTC  

So no one even knew it was an issue.

2018-02-02 00:39:15 UTC  

And on top of that, they ratified NAFTA--the treaty they were founded to oppose--and joined the WTO.

2018-02-02 00:43:27 UTC  

That said, they didn't even get into office until Stephen Harper. So they basically had to repeal all of that.

2018-02-02 22:45:25 UTC  

This is interesting Nuke. I had read Alberta is very Conservative. How do they feel about being in such a Liberal mess? Is there any talk of session?

2018-02-03 04:04:03 UTC  

Alberta is already under a left-wing Socialist government because the right-wing parties were too busy infighting with their 60+% majority

2018-02-03 04:04:25 UTC  

It's actually a big part of why Trudeau was elected: Conservatives were extremely demoralized by being defeated by a landslide in Alberta.

2018-02-03 04:14:12 UTC  

The right-wing party was able to defeat the moderate "Progressive Conservatives," but the right lost over 20 points overall from all of the infighting, leaving them with a feeble simple majority between both parties--and because Canada's electoral system is a two-party-optimized FPTP system like the USA has...that meant the most united party, the New Democrats, won.

2018-02-03 04:15:36 UTC  

The New Democrats won 40% of the Alberta vote too, which gave them a huge amount of momentum until the CBC--Canada's equivalent of PBS or the BBC--actually began encouraging NDP voters to vote Liberal to stop the Tories from being reelected.

2018-02-03 04:16:37 UTC  

if only Canada had a two-party system

2018-02-03 04:16:43 UTC  

I wish the US actually got involved in foreign internal affairs so we could condemn the CBC for that, or do many things really.

2018-02-03 04:17:47 UTC  

And yeah, Alberta's feuding right-wing parties actually merged in 2017 to prevent another election like that.

2018-02-03 04:18:50 UTC  

Alberta 2019 could be a majority vote for the United Conservatives, which might be the first in recent Canadian history.

2018-02-03 04:21:09 UTC  

Ah, nope, Manitoba has a right-wing majority government as it is.

2018-02-03 04:21:55 UTC  

And so does Saskatchewan.

2018-02-03 23:46:34 UTC  

Alright, I think the best say to determine which party's gonna win which state, we'll have to look at Voter proportions

2018-02-03 23:46:56 UTC  

Number of Self Described & Registered Indepnendents, Democrats, Republicans, etc.

2018-02-03 23:47:05 UTC  

So we can determine which states we can win

2018-02-03 23:53:33 UTC  

where can we find that data

2018-02-03 23:55:46 UTC  

here, I guess

2018-02-04 00:00:29 UTC  

I don't think we've gone in depth of party financials yet

2018-02-04 00:27:31 UTC  

DNC has 6.5 million dollars on hand and are 6.1 million dollars in debt

2018-02-04 00:27:57 UTC  

400k away from insolvency

2018-02-04 00:28:17 UTC  

The RNC has 38 million dollars without a single cent of debt

2018-02-04 00:29:16 UTC  

there could be something to this

2018-02-04 20:33:36 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/409808734353620994/party_realignment2.0.0.png

2018-02-07 18:08:41 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/410859429328846848/1518025144202.jpg

2018-02-07 18:09:31 UTC  

In a state this purple with the national consensus (even if it is shrinking) still leaning towards the Dems, I think this is a great sign of things to come.

2018-02-07 18:26:41 UTC  

What state are you referring to?

2018-02-07 18:26:49 UTC  

FL

2018-02-07 18:27:34 UTC  

Oh. I thought Florida had been slowly trending Red

2018-02-07 18:27:40 UTC  

it's referring to the senate election we have which most likely will be current Governor Rick Scott and Senator Bill Nelson

2018-02-07 18:27:58 UTC  

It did in 2016, but that's tricky

2018-02-07 18:28:00 UTC  

Florida is the swingiest swing state ever