Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 409197318076760076


2018-02-01 00:39:07 UTC  

I think the vast majority of those people wouldn't have voted otherwise

2018-02-01 00:39:26 UTC  

but I think there are people who voted for Johnson who would have been willing to vote for Trump if the libertarian presence wasn't as strong

2018-02-01 00:40:01 UTC  

Now if Ron Paul or someone of that nature was running on the Libertarian ticket, I'd be humming a different tune. That may have stolen votes.

2018-02-01 00:40:41 UTC  

also, Evan McMullin stole enough votes in Minnesota that you could say it would have gone to Trump otherwise

2018-02-01 00:40:43 UTC  

the Never Trump movement and the mormon cia candidate stole Minnesota

2018-02-01 00:40:48 UTC  

hivemind

2018-02-01 00:42:35 UTC  

by a margin of 10,000 if every McMullin vote went to Trump he would've won MN, but I doubt that 6/7 McMullin voters would've went for Trump

2018-02-01 00:43:21 UTC  

NeverTrumpers, the such

2018-02-02 00:32:41 UTC  

It's been proven at this point that McMullin proved Minnesota to swing to the Democrats, by the good old "Nader stole Florida." metric.

2018-02-02 00:33:34 UTC  

I can't tell if it's for better or for worse that the USA didn't have a Canadian-style Reform Party takeover, on that note.

2018-02-02 00:35:15 UTC  

The Progressive Conservatives in Canada were essentially replaced by their Ross Perot supporting counterparts in Canada, due to the fact that electing the Reform Party of Canada required electing a Reform legislature.

2018-02-02 00:35:53 UTC  

In other words, Ross Perot lost because he could never control Congress. Reform Canada won because precisely the opposite was true--Commons elects the Prime Minister.

2018-02-02 00:36:34 UTC  

But if Ross Perot became President in 1992 or 1996, would we have a Justin Trudeau like monster today?

2018-02-02 00:37:42 UTC  

The Canadian Tories, formed by the merger of the Reform/CA party with the Prog. Cons., have been failing to outlaw abortion and gay marriage pretty much continuously for decades.

2018-02-02 00:38:03 UTC  

And they can actually just suspend human rights and ban those things in Canada, as their Supreme Court is weak.

2018-02-02 00:38:31 UTC  

And they didn't even disclose Canadian immigration stats until they were leaked by dissidents under Trudeau

2018-02-02 00:38:40 UTC  

So no one even knew it was an issue.

2018-02-02 00:39:15 UTC  

And on top of that, they ratified NAFTA--the treaty they were founded to oppose--and joined the WTO.

2018-02-02 00:43:27 UTC  

That said, they didn't even get into office until Stephen Harper. So they basically had to repeal all of that.

2018-02-02 22:45:25 UTC  

This is interesting Nuke. I had read Alberta is very Conservative. How do they feel about being in such a Liberal mess? Is there any talk of session?

2018-02-03 04:04:03 UTC  

Alberta is already under a left-wing Socialist government because the right-wing parties were too busy infighting with their 60+% majority

2018-02-03 04:04:25 UTC  

It's actually a big part of why Trudeau was elected: Conservatives were extremely demoralized by being defeated by a landslide in Alberta.

2018-02-03 04:14:12 UTC  

The right-wing party was able to defeat the moderate "Progressive Conservatives," but the right lost over 20 points overall from all of the infighting, leaving them with a feeble simple majority between both parties--and because Canada's electoral system is a two-party-optimized FPTP system like the USA has...that meant the most united party, the New Democrats, won.

2018-02-03 04:15:36 UTC  

The New Democrats won 40% of the Alberta vote too, which gave them a huge amount of momentum until the CBC--Canada's equivalent of PBS or the BBC--actually began encouraging NDP voters to vote Liberal to stop the Tories from being reelected.

2018-02-03 04:16:37 UTC  

if only Canada had a two-party system

2018-02-03 04:16:43 UTC  

I wish the US actually got involved in foreign internal affairs so we could condemn the CBC for that, or do many things really.

2018-02-03 04:17:47 UTC  

And yeah, Alberta's feuding right-wing parties actually merged in 2017 to prevent another election like that.

2018-02-03 04:18:50 UTC  

Alberta 2019 could be a majority vote for the United Conservatives, which might be the first in recent Canadian history.

2018-02-03 04:21:09 UTC  

Ah, nope, Manitoba has a right-wing majority government as it is.

2018-02-03 04:21:55 UTC  

And so does Saskatchewan.

2018-02-03 23:46:34 UTC  

Alright, I think the best say to determine which party's gonna win which state, we'll have to look at Voter proportions

2018-02-03 23:46:56 UTC  

Number of Self Described & Registered Indepnendents, Democrats, Republicans, etc.

2018-02-03 23:47:05 UTC  

So we can determine which states we can win

2018-02-03 23:53:33 UTC  

where can we find that data

2018-02-03 23:55:46 UTC  

here, I guess

2018-02-04 00:00:29 UTC  

I don't think we've gone in depth of party financials yet

2018-02-04 00:27:31 UTC  

DNC has 6.5 million dollars on hand and are 6.1 million dollars in debt

2018-02-04 00:27:57 UTC  

400k away from insolvency

2018-02-04 00:28:17 UTC  

The RNC has 38 million dollars without a single cent of debt