Message from @Fire
Discord ID: 663910888968814593
Fine
thats fred sir
if you know anything about economic data in the us, you know what it is
@Fire i don't doubt they exist i just meant in case someone had the specific sources. Exactly because i know they get buried all the time. Or maybe in case some outlet or thread had published a summary or a major compilation of data
you would already know these data as well of course
Yeah
so from the POV of somebody who does know them, when people vomit it out, i know im dealing with a mental case
because well it's a lot of information considering its almost 4 years now so yeah
If you search it up or do your own research you will find it
and this is just spatial knowledge anybody who can use a coloring book can understand
Also being honest why are we talking about Obama and not Trump
if a line is 10 inches long, but Trump's part is 1.5 inches
well
okay, so you're saying that historically the black unemployment rate drops after a recession?
all rates do, i just used one of the more extreme ones. unemployment goes UP during a recession, then begins to fall as economy recovers
the recession are in grey, so naturally unemployment peaks during them
by definition
We can use common sense to connect this with why Black unenployment
Obama came in during the GFC, so 1.5-2 years of his is leeward side of that, then the turning point, and now we are in the same expansion, which is beginning to turn
Why did unemployment rate drop significantly more than usual after 2008 then? And then keep dropping more than usual
Is going down
the unemployment rate went UP during the GFC, then began to drop as aggregate demand rose again
usually bank credit drives the latter
I'm heading out bye
or you can use something like hours worked in a sector
etc
But what im asking is why under trump did it drop below 7.5 percent and then keep dropping when historically its never done that
trump* not drop
Because Trump is a wizard
aggregate demand has kept going up
normally, we get a counter cyclical policy
trump was aganist t, he wants negative rates
that's a problem which will make next crash bigger, powell isn't caving on negative rates, YET, we'll see
by some measuers, 'jobs' have gone up, but 'hours worked' gone down
Okay, but what im getting at is that it was policy that kept unemployment going down right?
it's the lack of the usual countercyclical
which is policy
sort of but primarily it's because there is no headroom