Message from @Trancezustand

Discord ID: 543969278681022475


2019-02-09 05:26:31 UTC  

Syria is apparently going to deploy their S300 air defenses soon

2019-02-09 05:26:44 UTC  

Which means that they could shoot down Israeli planes

2019-02-09 05:31:31 UTC  

israel shouldnt try anything once that happens

2019-02-09 05:31:47 UTC  

They know the stakes and with the US pulling out theyll lose most of their bravado

2019-02-09 12:55:09 UTC  

I was being sarcastic lol. Just the israel treatment is bizzare. Even the far left hates them as well, and im not talking about the pro louise farrakhan types, in talking about tankies

2019-02-09 12:55:47 UTC  

Israel is our greatest ally has been used unironically by some politicians

2019-02-09 18:53:34 UTC  

I stand with Israel

2019-02-09 20:55:58 UTC  

Tim said that he likes talking about foreign policy, any super fan out there that could direct me to a good video so I could get a basic idea of where he is coming from?

2019-02-09 20:56:14 UTC  

geopolitics is my jam

2019-02-09 21:34:35 UTC  

On what subject?

2019-02-09 21:34:58 UTC  

Like what country or issues?

2019-02-10 00:30:21 UTC  

tldr tim is anti interventionist

2019-02-10 00:31:19 UTC  

aka no boots on the ground, no toppling of foreign governments via cover or open warfare, no kicking in doors at night in foreign countries to haul away suspected terrorists and no propaganda efforts in other countries

2019-02-10 00:31:43 UTC  

He is generally supportive of foreign aid

2019-02-10 00:35:55 UTC  

I dont think theres a specific video for it although tim has long said he will eventually make one outlining all of his personnel views

2019-02-10 00:36:11 UTC  

ah gotcha thankyou very much ❀

2019-02-10 00:36:16 UTC  

But if you check out any geo political story hell mention his stance at some point

2019-02-10 00:36:50 UTC  

would be interested to see that video if he ever summarizes his opinions

2019-02-10 01:07:17 UTC  

UN, ISO, WTO, SCO, NATO, Trade blocs and other intergovernmental agreements; International central banking financial institutions like the BIS and the FSB and their roles in global economic policies. 4GW 4th gen warfare and the pros and cons of tech warfare and the current proxy wars. SLOC sea lines of communication and containerization seaport trade. Multipolar world debates, his opinions on meetings like Davos and the G20. Intelligence organization groups like 5 eyes and what should intelligence agencies role be in todays information age. Multinational corporations and their regulation, Global black markets, Internet regulation, World Nuclear policies, Private Military Companies, Global resource management systems, UN security Council reform. International mining contentions and globalization in general. Washington vs Beijing consensus, that kinda shit. Just his overall current state of the world and his opinions on the GFS.

2019-02-10 01:24:48 UTC  

Ok I see people saying that USA could just print money to pay for the green new deal, how is that bad?

2019-02-10 01:39:42 UTC  

Good Question, one that would require a crystal ball to answer

2019-02-10 01:39:52 UTC  

The USA has the USD, the largest world reserve currency atm, you could potentially print trillions of new money and pay for large scale infrastructure projects that are introduced in the Green New Deal... but international commodity markets are more fragile then you would expect, and pumping that kind of new money in may ripple out causing major problems.

2019-02-10 01:39:55 UTC  

1 word: hyper-inflation

2019-02-10 01:40:26 UTC  

can the worlds largest reserve currency really hyper inflate though? I'm not so sure, it may be possible

2019-02-10 01:41:38 UTC  

Yes, the USD can hyper-inflate but before that it will loose it status as de facto reserve currency

2019-02-10 01:42:28 UTC  

but given the USD's special privilege we certainly have more flexibility then other central banks

2019-02-10 01:42:41 UTC  

that Is why I say it may be possible

2019-02-10 01:46:26 UTC  

Economic policies i cant answer but I can say that 4th gen warfare does what new warfare methods always do: upset the status quo

2019-02-10 01:47:12 UTC  

This combined with the shift toward a multi polar world means that the world is barreling towards a new generation of conflicts

2019-02-10 01:47:16 UTC  

http://data.imf.org/regular.aspx?key=41175 the US is not so strong a reserve currency as it used to be.

2019-02-10 01:47:41 UTC  

Sporadic proxy wars fought on the cold wars killing fields and on the streets of every first world nation

2019-02-10 01:48:28 UTC  

Best case scenario it stops there

2019-02-10 01:48:41 UTC  

Worst case the nations fracture and the major powers switch over to autonomous armies

2019-02-10 01:48:53 UTC  

I recommend Samuel Huntingtons book Clash of civilizations

2019-02-10 01:53:43 UTC  

Print enough of anything fast enough and anything can hyper-inflate--including physical reserve currencies. (Thought experiment, if the USD was gold-backed and then someone discovered a way to turn the oceans into gold for fractions of a penny, what would happen to the value of the USD).

Technically, we might not get hyperinflation, rather heavy rapid inflation that causes the KMT to replace the USD as the reserve currency and would bankrupt the US.

Now, you probably could make the argument that a rapid sudden increase in the US money supply would shatter the world banking system first and *someone* would take the excuse to wage a larger war.

Still, goes back the the original point. You can't just print a bunch of money without serious damaging consequences, so this "the fed runs the printing press and pays for the GND" isn't realistic.

2019-02-10 01:54:48 UTC  

---
Actually, this opens a nice little conspiracy theory. Remember how Subscribestar somehow managed to get back into business? Subscribestar is Russian. And Russia doesn't want either side of the culture war wiped out...

2019-02-10 01:55:48 UTC  

You cannot print value. Money is just paper. Actually it's less than that, it's numbers in banking systems. Changing the amount of money doesn't change the underlining value. When you suddenly flood the market with money, people quickly buy the things they couldn't before, quickly making them rare, causing their price to rise until everything reaches the new medium so you can once again determine how much money equals x underlying value.

2019-02-10 01:56:39 UTC  

valid points

2019-02-10 01:57:03 UTC  

Just to be sure, when you use the term β€œprint money” you do not limit it to physical paper money but also allow for expansive digital holdings by increased bond and T-bill listings on the exchanges? @pratel

2019-02-10 01:57:12 UTC  

yes

2019-02-10 01:57:23 UTC  

Gotcha