Message from @Radcliffe

Discord ID: 449554771926581258


2018-05-25 12:36:52 UTC  

maybe he and china are not getting along as well as he wished, so he has not enough foreign markets to sell to

2018-05-25 12:36:59 UTC  

i was talking to someone high up in credit suisse London... and the UK arm cant deal with russia... so they set up a meeting that coinsides with a russians meeting in switzerland... they arent allowed to set the meeting up directly.. but if they find each other in switzerland its "not against the rules"

2018-05-25 12:37:58 UTC  

@Grenade123 Maybe trumps tarif war with china is making them up the prices with russia

2018-05-25 12:38:34 UTC  

you mean to tell me tariffs are helpful to no one? who knew

2018-05-25 12:39:13 UTC  

well it goes both ways.... Russia is dying to sell to china.. so a trade war with china-us is good for them

2018-05-25 12:39:47 UTC  

true, but can they supply what china is losing to US?

2018-05-25 12:40:32 UTC  

russia says they are "ready with their piggies"

2018-05-25 12:41:37 UTC  

i'll see it when it happens, NK is also ready with their skeleton piggies :p

2018-05-25 12:42:42 UTC  

theyll not be like them belgian blue's eh?

2018-05-25 12:44:22 UTC  

but selling is not the problem, its buying. Tariffs raise the price of goods from china. china can't sell those things as easily, so they need to sell elsewhere, presumably where they were not making as much money. so they raise prices there. which if they were selling to russia, means now prices in russia are raising.

2018-05-25 12:45:57 UTC  

yes, and hence, they're calling for no more trade wars, so that doesn't go up

2018-05-25 12:46:23 UTC  

exactly. we impose tariffs, so prices raise EVERYWHERE

2018-05-25 12:46:27 UTC  

including here

2018-05-25 12:46:50 UTC  

wait wait wait....does this mean trump is technically winning his trade war?

2018-05-25 12:47:08 UTC  

well, the idea is

That if the prices in US are higher, some company will rise to fill the market with a better price, so the production is based in America, and prices no longer rise in the US

2018-05-25 12:47:19 UTC  

as well as more jerbs

2018-05-25 12:48:19 UTC  

thats not how it works

2018-05-25 12:48:32 UTC  

or, both sides then agree to drop tariffs again, so that the US can export more

Cuz as i understand it, the US demanded 0 tariffs, but China did demand it

2018-05-25 12:49:12 UTC  

it isnt?

2018-05-25 12:49:26 UTC  

if you could make enough steel, at the same or lower price as foreign imports, then they would be. Because just the cost of shipping means local industry should have advantage assuming they can go toe to toe in production volume at the same cost.

2018-05-25 12:50:09 UTC  

ive only seen good vibes and words spoken about TB on twitter and in twitch chat... which the latter is a real rare one

2018-05-25 12:50:45 UTC  

TB left us without an answer to the Trap question!

2018-05-25 12:52:27 UTC  

so if you artificially raise the cost of foreign imports of that steel, prices can only raise for a few reasons 1) at first there is less supply at that lower costs at first, so we have price increases almost like there was a shortage until the lowest cost produces increase production to take up the slack. Which can take a couple of years. but even then, the prices will not fall back to before the tariff.

2018-05-25 12:54:06 UTC  

whats worse, if you ever lift the tariff, then suddenly those produces who just increased production are now having less demand, because they are expensive now. so now they need to downside, which leads to a bunch of people getting fired, now they need to find work, and they might not have the skill set

2018-05-25 12:54:27 UTC  

the only thing that happens when you are winning a trade war is that your costs increase **the least**

2018-05-25 12:54:34 UTC  

but they do increase

2018-05-25 12:54:36 UTC  

yes

2018-05-25 12:54:50 UTC  

thats more detailed of what i said wasnt it?

2018-05-25 12:55:30 UTC  

the ultimate goal of a tariff war is to screw over your competition

2018-05-25 12:55:39 UTC  

at the cost of your own people

2018-05-25 12:55:56 UTC  

yes

2018-05-25 12:56:05 UTC  

thats why its a tariff WAR

2018-05-25 12:56:29 UTC  

the price of things doesn't mean its more valuable, it just means you need more of your currency to buy it. so in effect, all you do is devalue your own currency

2018-05-25 12:56:56 UTC  

a war that has a high risk of destroying your own local industry.

2018-05-25 12:57:20 UTC  

unlike a real war where you can just bomb the enemy production and defend yourself physically.

2018-05-25 12:57:41 UTC  

well i think the idea behind this one is that the local industry is non-existant because they all moved to cheaper nations for production

2018-05-25 12:57:55 UTC  

and they moved for a reason

2018-05-25 12:58:31 UTC  

yes, because it was more profitable

2018-05-25 12:59:00 UTC  

so with no local industry (cuz they moved), i think that way Trump is either gonna get a better deal for america, or force a local industry to be created

2018-05-25 12:59:57 UTC  

it was cheaper to make, meaning they can sell for less, meaning more people buy. meaning they make more profit. that is a net benefit for everyone involved. Because if we are importing that good, it means moved from making that product, to consuming it to make a different product.

2018-05-25 13:00:37 UTC  

so by that being made cheaper elsewhere, those industries that use it, can product their stuff for cheaper, meaning they get more profit with cheaper product, meaning they can expand, and we get more jobs