Message from @Atkins

Discord ID: 514245741430964226


2018-11-20 00:55:35 UTC  

The fact that if not for immigration the developed world (including China and, most seriously, Japan) would be declining is a difficult angle in the immigration debate.

2018-11-20 00:57:10 UTC  

Well the question is: would the decline eventually stop if we stopped "artificially" replacing people?

2018-11-20 00:58:48 UTC  

Not sure what you mean by "artificially replacing people" but when your birthrate is 1.93 or something the population would be shrinking over time.

2018-11-20 01:01:31 UTC  

Yes, but there's two questions there
Why are people having fewer kids?
Will they have more kids eventually? And if so when?
So 2.5 really

2018-11-20 01:02:02 UTC  

What we do now is, instead of asking that question, bring people over from other countries. Some of these countries have population problems of their own

2018-11-20 01:05:00 UTC  

problem is africa is fucking like crazy

2018-11-20 01:05:09 UTC  

and every chick there pops out like 4 children

2018-11-20 01:05:18 UTC  

That was the whole world not too long ago.

2018-11-20 01:06:54 UTC  

It used to be that kids were social security. We've now broken the link between having kids and security in old age. Women also work and many find fulfillment in careers equal to or greater than caring for children.

2018-11-20 01:07:02 UTC  

It's not realistic to expect constant growth forever though

2018-11-20 01:07:08 UTC  

I don't think anyone knows why there's so few births. the 19.3 was France, which, If I remember correctly, actually pays women to have kids at this point and pushes families very hard.

2018-11-20 01:07:42 UTC  

I think it's cultural and has to do with modernity. 10th amendment make sense.

2018-11-20 01:07:56 UTC  

If so, we should expect to see more births in Asia.

2018-11-20 01:08:11 UTC  

And with automation making economic productivity possible without people, is population deflation even a concern?

2018-11-20 01:08:34 UTC  

we're not really pair bonding anymore.

2018-11-20 01:08:34 UTC  

That's my other big point

2018-11-20 01:08:41 UTC  

The automation bit

2018-11-20 01:08:43 UTC  

That's a good question. Is births important.

2018-11-20 01:08:48 UTC  

young people aren't forming couples and marrying.

2018-11-20 01:08:51 UTC  

I think it is. There's limits on automation.

2018-11-20 01:08:58 UTC  

and without that stability it's not responsible for anyone to have kids.

2018-11-20 01:09:05 UTC  

If we eventually settle back to a couple billion peeps in the world, is that a bad thing?

2018-11-20 01:09:08 UTC  

Atkins is also right, the marriage rate for millenials is something like 30% by 35 last I saw.

2018-11-20 01:09:25 UTC  

Shouldn't we be concerned about the number of people we're bringing in when multiple job sectors will see shrinkage?

2018-11-20 01:09:35 UTC  

And yeah marriages have been fucked for decades now haven't they?

2018-11-20 01:09:52 UTC  

Rising divorce rates, declining engagement rates

2018-11-20 01:09:54 UTC  

when you get into your 30s, the dating market is almost entirely single moms.

2018-11-20 01:10:15 UTC  

those who aren't single moms either aren't dating or have some other arrangement.

2018-11-20 01:10:44 UTC  

I married at 19 and have been married for 29 years. Had two kid. Despite what you may think of my life choices, we're not part of this problem.

2018-11-20 01:10:53 UTC  

:p

2018-11-20 01:11:01 UTC  

i think you qualify as a special case, no offense.

2018-11-20 01:11:25 UTC  

I think you miss a lot of "special cases" because we're not the noisy ones

2018-11-20 01:11:35 UTC  

If the noisy ones would STFU you'd see there are a lot of normal people in the GLBT community

2018-11-20 01:12:05 UTC  

sure. but the GLBT community is very small.

2018-11-20 01:12:17 UTC  

True

2018-11-20 01:12:42 UTC  

But many of us are doing our part to preserve marriage and pop out babies

2018-11-20 01:12:57 UTC  

Just sayin'

2018-11-20 01:13:13 UTC  

that's great, but we need the other 95%+ to do the same

2018-11-20 01:13:27 UTC  

and they aren't

2018-11-20 01:13:28 UTC  

at all

2018-11-20 01:13:31 UTC  

No doubt