i don't buy it. i think rosenstein was joking, or mccabe made it up

they're trying to bait trump into firing rosenstein so they can claim chaos before midterms imo

if this is actually legit, sessions has to fire him

(not that he would; i'm not black pilled on sessions since he's been good on immigration, but he's a pussy on this shit)

three new approval polls today

NBC/WSJ 44%, Fox News 44% (46% with LV), Harris 48%

safe to say that late august dip is over

https://twitter.com/gabrielmalor/status/1043700726445297665

nbc and fox have been consistent

harris was down to 45 but it's back up

let me check on fox to be sure. i know nbc was 44 last month

yea looks the same

https://twitter.com/ewerickson/status/1043676065577750528

here's the thing about obama

he's about the same as trump if you look at disapprovals, outside of 2009 when he first took office, 2012 right before the election, and 2016 when he was at the end of his term

consistently in the 50-55 range

he was a bit higher in approvals though. trump has been (aside form low points) 40-44 in average. obama was 43-47

a lot of that is though that there were republicans who approved of obama

in terms of support in party and with independents, trump is about the same if not a little higher. he just polls at like 5% approval with dems

but anyhow, what happened in 2016 is those voters who don't approve of trump but don't disapprove broke for him. will they break for gop without him on the ticket?

this is literal insanity

seriously. people are coming up with actual crazy claims, and they're being treated as mainstream. WTF

nobody is being asked to testify under oath

No time to be defeatist or complacent. Let’s hit those phones lads

And once Kav or whoever is confirmed we call to have investigations into booker and menendez. Time to fight back

https://twitter.com/ProfMJCleveland/status/1044313015875776517

what an amazing past 24 hours

yep

did you guys see that illegal screaming and blocking the elevator so he couldn't leave

it's pretty bad

i think so

flake is a yes, so it's really a matter of whether one of collins/murkowski votes in full senate

donnelly is a no

nelson, jones also nos

only dems who haven't declared are i think manchin, heitkamp

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/

current odds are 76% yes

yea

guys

this could be pretty big

https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1046464942239617024

@here white pill time

https://stockton.edu/hughes-center/polling/documents/2018-1001-stockton-poll-shows-us-senate-race-in-nj-a-dead-heat.pdf

in a credible nonpartisan poll, menendez only up by 2 in nj

8% undecideds

one thing that's good though is

even if we don't flip it, if it's actually that close, it means they have to spend on it

and NJ is expensive. it has the NYC and Philly TV markets

yep

and it's just like FL (tho FL we can win and i think scott is a slight favorite there)

it's so expensive, that money the dems spend there, doesn't go elsewhere

desantis on the other hand is probably an underdog. i don't know how that's possible given they know gillum will raise taxes. is there a debate scheduled?

nice

nice

fuck menendez

too bad christie decided to tank his last term. if he was still at 2015 popularity he could've won easily

has he reserved ad time for october?

nice

are they gonna do a spanish debate?

ah ok

actually shit, doesn't early voting start there soon?

oh ok i thought you guys were one of the super early states for some reason

which state has a month? NC?

i think NV might too

yea

are scott and desantis doing any events together?

nice

normally you'd think they're going for different lanes but

i think the kav stuff has united the right

i don't get him and mccaskill coming out as NOs so early. unless their internal polling is much different than public polling, that's crazy

donnelly too, but midwest polling is shit so we have no clue what that race looks like

yea

btw

10/26, q3 gdp comes out

if that's 3.0 or higher, will be a huge boost

yea

http://projects.wsj.com/econforecast/#ind=gdp&r=20 the average projection is 3.22

yea

especially since the hurricane didn't fuck up shipments as much as it could

and since the european trade stuff has been over for a while

https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1046788882661093379

keep in mind that's all adults, not RV, let alone LV

https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1046779945391976448

https://twitter.com/1776Stonewall/status/1046795026326523905

lol

there are actually significant changes (1) point of origin requirements raised from 62.5 to 75% (2) after a phase in period 60% of components need to be in $16+/hr factories (3) US installed a quota on canadian autos (4) US has access for the first time in decades to canadian milk and dairy markets (5) steel and iron tariffs still in place (6) labor standards raised substantially across the board, preventing outsourcing to mexico

i don't trust the chinese

i had some good chinese food last week tbh. sesame chicken

china is going to be a tough pickle

they've been around for thousands of years, only the mongols and the japanese have stopped them, and both only for a short time

they're making inroads to africa now

mitt was a cuck, but at least he wanted to go after them some. obama did nothing and now we're going to pay for it

yea

we need this kav win

i hope heitkamp votes no. because that's the one senate race that we seem very likely to flip. the rest are all a bunch of 50-50 races

i wonder how those 50/50 races will split. will both parties win some, or will one win most?

i would put NV/AZ/IN/FL/MO all in the same bucket

(i don't think TX is competitive and i think TN is going to be at least a 5 point win)

yep

and no votes could bring WV/OH/MT closer to the pack too