i could see a case coming up

true

i think thomas wants to retire early too

he's really good, shame, but maybe that would be where we could get someone like amy barrett in

ok, so on on the cornyn-grassley bill

it was defeated 39-60 right

so 10 R's voted against it, because it wasn't going to pass anyway, and because it gave up too much (they would flip if it could pass)

Barrasso, Cruz, Daines, Enzi, Inhofe, Kennedy, Lee, Moran, Paul, Thune

so that gets us to 49

3 D's voted for it, which probably are NOs if it's after midterms (Manchin, Donnelly, Heitkamp)

then you have Collins, Murkowski, Flake, Sasse who were NOs, and McCain who wasn't there

@FLanon that would be funny

so McCain was replaced with Kyl who is a yes

i think the dems would fillibuster the bill though

so it realistically has to be done in a spending bill

tax cuts 2.0 you probably don't need to use reconciliation

because 2.0 is going to be making the individual cuts permanent

any dem voting against that in a red state is fatal

even obama with a dem senate extended the bush cuts, remember

do you need 2/3 for that? would be really tough

isn't it amending the constitution so it needs 2/3?

actually

maybe i'm wrong

looks like it was settled through the supreme court in 1898 re:their interpretation of the 14th amendment. so it could be overturned maybe?

ah

so could a simple bill in congress restrict it for foreigners then?

do you think the current supreme court would uphold it?

or would roberts cuck?

yea

i think one of breyer or ginsburg is out by 2020

https://twitter.com/joshdcaplan/status/1038637140471623680

maga

oh shit

oh shit

oh shit

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1038868097317232640

(typo, it's a senate poll)

but it's great to see a lead there

been following the nyt polls

mn-03 is very bad for us, but mn-08 being a tossup and wv looking like it's clearly lean r is good news

honestly though, mn-03 is a seat we only have because of incumbency. it should've flipped years ago. same with a couple others (like comstock's seat i think?)

https://twitter.com/StockMonsterUSA/status/1038984703225868288

i don't want to jinx it, but right now we're up 6 in the wv-03 poll

people were saying it was lean d

looks like people being polled realize ojeda is a fraud

yea

ojeda is kinda like lamb

but he's not running in a special

so it'll be full turnout

yea

cnn and quinnipiac are garbage polls

how can they be multiple points lower in RV than gallup which is adults?

cnn used to have decent polling too. ever since that loser harry enten was hired after losing his job at 538 they've went to hell

now is a great time to help register voters - the deadline is oct 12 (to register in person or postmark). especially for people in or near NY-19 or NY-22

NY-01, NY-11, NY-24 and NY-27 are likely R, but if you live in one of those districts, you can help out as well

it's not that hard - call your county republican party, and you can either phone bank to register voters, or you can go door to door (from my experience, they usually will pair you with a second more experienced campaign worker at first)

each registered republican is practically a vote in the bank - you can only vote once, but you can "vote" more

man, fuck this accuser

flake is trying to single-handedly tank kav's nom

supposedly grassley is trying to get her in for a call and kav for a follow up before thursday

the worst part of this, is that suburban/college white women are the current 'swing' voters. that's what the real end game is here

they want a wedge issue so they can push the 'gop is the party of sexual assault' narrative leading up to midterms

to be 100% fair though

we don't know if polling translates to votes

because if they voted at the margins they poll for dems, crooked would've won handily

so there is some bradley effect at play. some may not want to talk about it because of social scrutiny, but they must not care

i don't know, i could see it going either way

https://twitter.com/SpaceBolGang/status/1041450582316380166

i'm not concern trolling here - but i think it would kill enthusiasm if we let dems fuck us on this

a clip also emerged today of him calling trump supporters the dregs of society

hmmmmm

under ordinary circumstances he would *but*

in an 08 scenario i could see him losing them. if he was facing a recession, an unpopular war, and a hated incumbent

though maybe i'm underestimating. did mccain win them by at least 10%?

i think kristol would do at least 10% worse than mccain

so he would lose them

for as much shit as i give collins, she hasn't cucked (yet at least)

it's been losers flake, corker, and murkowski so far

fresh batch of gaslighting polls from cnn

ever since they brought that loser 538 reject harry enten in, their outfit went from bad to worse

lol

call me crazy but i think cruz wins by 5+

beta is such a bad fit for tx, and it's not there yet in terms of vulnerable demographics

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1042092706749530112

beta cucked

something i've noticed -

a lot of the nevertrumpers aren't having this entire kav thing. the more rational ones at least. i wonder if this was one bridge too far and they come back into the fold

white pill time

https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1042462777661698049

this is not an internal or push poll, it's NBC

@FLanon yep. if cox wins, or is even competitive, it means a lot of these downballot races aren't going to go D

@FLanon true. it's also possible newsom is just really bad or cox is really good. i mean there are some successful gop governors in deep blue states right (hogan, baker)

https://twitter.com/CNBCnow/status/1042769041063141376

i think the turtle will play ball with trump

cocksucker ryan is what worries me

he won't even step down, even though he's said he's leaving

honestly, i think if we hold the house, govt will be a lot more functional next year

i mean almost all of the crappy congressmen and senators will be out

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1043204451253727233