of course, having -7 pts. isn't a good thing, but it will prevent impeachment

what would be your predicted number of seats obtained by both parties in the house if it remains at that level?

Democrats would gain 10 seats at most in the house, Republicans would gain at least 3 seats

so a net loss of 7 seats (at worst) for Rs?

That is acceptable

I'm gonna repost your earlier margins that you gave in the discord:

D+2.9: R 236; D 199
D+5.9: R 231; D 204
D+7.9: R 225 ; D 210
D+9.9: R 218; D 217
D+12.9: R 196; D 239

yeah, a majority is still a majority

it might make things more susceptible to republicuck sabotage though

230-205 that would be though, if I'm doing the math right

around 53% of the house's seat makeup

we can still get a ton of things done with that composition

Is the average House Republican more or less cucked than the average Senate Republican? It may be that Senate Republicans are more prominent and that's why we judge them so much, but I feel that House Republicans are okay for the most part.

If we can keep the wind to our backs, we could make that margin better

The House is far less cucked, they've passed some good immigration bills but the Senate hasn't taken them up yet

Yeah, the house itself is less cucked

but 55% of the representatives are republicans, which is a far cry from the Senate which has 51 and used to have 52 Republican senators

I'm asking per capita, is the average house republican better than the average republican senator

there's a possibility that the larger number overshadows the cucks in the house

I'm going to research this, brb

I was going to use conservativereview but looks like the scorecard section of the site is down

these are all the House Reps that are better or as good as the best Republican Senator

2% of peer group vs 8 % of peer group

well, looks like the hypothesis is right, senators are more cucked per capita than representatives

I'd like a source for that btw so I can get into the details

https://www.numbersusa.com/content/my/tools/grades/list/0/CONGRESS/US/H/Grade/Active

the House of Representatives has always been more partisan (which means it tends to be less 'cucked') than the Senate

it makes sense

the House consists of specific districts whereas the Senate consists of the entire state, which means that Senators have to appeal to a wider array of people, which means they can't be as partisan

unless it's a state like Wyoming

or Massachusetts

whoa it's actually a lot more than 8%

whereas a state like Florida is going to have senators that have to appeal to both the left and the right

https://www.numbersusa.com/content/my/tools/grades/list/0/CONGRESS/US/HR/Grade/Active

hence moderate Dems like Bill Nelson

15% w/ an A+

oh right

2% of the senate republicans w/ an A

So, if the margins in the house get close, you shouldn't have to worry about it stalling as much as in the senate

we simply need a majority

/ourguy/ Pete Sessions could be in jeopardy in Texas-32

I'd say at least 53% would be good for whatever bill we need

there are a number of Reps we can afford to lose, but Sessions isn't one of them

give me an analysis

He's an immigration hardliner but his Congressional District went for Hilllary Clinton in 2016 so it makes him vulnerable,
makes sense since it's a suburban district,
fortunately, he's the only non-cucked Rep that is at risk this election season

Looks like he has a good electoral record

he kept strong during the 2006 situation

in 2016 they only ran 3rd parties against him

hmm

definitely should keep him safe, make sure to add these points into the /rsg/ threads

yeah, he's going to need a shitton of money and ground game

and demoralization efforts for the other side on top of that

also add this into the Texas channel

yikes, his approval is at 42% A/32% D

+10?

it's a solid margin, but he's still vulnerable to a well-liked contestor

well, let's make sure that he gets some wacko to run against him

I feel that the accelerationist principle works to some extent as long as those people don't actually get elected, only nominated

I wish we could make a sort of shell Democratic strategist think tank company which at face value is to promote 'progressive values' but in actuality is only to ensure Republicans get elected

In any case, add the Pete Sessions situation to the <#399759501470990336> channel

Speaking of Texas, how is our boi Teddy doing?

He's safe, 14 point lead over his dem adversary

source?

https://cbpolling.press/2017/12/29/ted-cruz-leads-early-texas-senate-poll-over-beto-orourke/

Alright, good. Cruz in an ally in the Senate, we need to keep him.

Highly doubt his seat is in jeopardy

we've gotta have all bases covered

Even though its likely that Cruz will win Texas, It's a bit too early. There might be some controversies from now until November that might cost him

well yeah, same thing applies to senators from states like New York and Massachusetts

True

Gilibrand in NY could get into a freak accident and the Democratic nominee could turn out to be a pedo

Cruz could have a heart attack from delicious Texan food

kek

But one question, are both the Republican challengers to NY and Massachusetts relatively popular or relatively unknown

Also, how is the situation coming along with Ohio and Sherrod Brown? Is there another Republican challenger that can possibly unseat him? I know Mandel dropped out and the other dude didn't want to join

in NY, it's been some lady named Wendy Long who keeps running (and losing)

I never heard of her until I started doing research on past elections

any Republican who wants to win in NY has to work on getting upstate and conservative areas in Long Island to turn out

and on top of that, win over enough voters in NYC, which means they'll have to campaign pretty hard in NYC as well

NYC is small geographically speaking, so that isn't as hard as it sounds

Ok, because another factor to consider with TX is that Beto is relatlvely unknown, while Ted is very well known in TX which could aid him.

Does anyone have the link to who is racing against who in the House and Senate?

anyone?

primaries haven't happened yet

for instance, Beto is the frontrunner for Texas in the Dem primary, but it's not guaranteed

Right, but I want the link where it showed who all the possible candidates were running against each state so far. I believe it was one of the links on the midterms thread

ah

hmm

do you remember what the link looked like

https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Congress_elections,_2018

this might be close enough

late

I believe it the homepage was green

found it

https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/events.phtml?format=chronological&type=e

yeah, when you said 'green' I immediately went to look for that one

Hey

http://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/157555181

new thread

@Rhodesiaboo what's up ?