Message from @Timcast

Discord ID: 498125676155502593


2018-10-06 13:31:19 UTC  

according to a couple different sources its between 2-10 percent

2018-10-06 13:31:26 UTC  

the only data actually studied said 7%

2018-10-06 13:31:43 UTC  

this chart uses 10% of reported cases

2018-10-06 13:31:46 UTC  

high end

2018-10-06 13:31:48 UTC  

So something around the 10% mark seems accurate.

2018-10-06 13:32:04 UTC  

When you get to the 5%-10% range statistical noise becomes nasty.

2018-10-06 13:32:26 UTC  

But yeah, that is kinda deceptive if the data provided says 7% and the chart uses 10%.

2018-10-06 13:32:27 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/463054787336732683/498125387856084992/meme1.jpg

2018-10-06 13:32:30 UTC  

this is what went viral

2018-10-06 13:32:33 UTC  

total fake news

2018-10-06 13:32:41 UTC  

That's really bad.

2018-10-06 13:32:46 UTC  

the creator made a graph of 1000 men

2018-10-06 13:32:59 UTC  

but then the % were bsaed on 100

2018-10-06 13:33:07 UTC  

so she cut a full order of magnitude from the actual visual

2018-10-06 13:33:15 UTC  

Do you know the source of the viral graphic?

2018-10-06 13:33:21 UTC  

its on the bottom of the graphic

2018-10-06 13:33:23 UTC  

That's really deceptive.

2018-10-06 13:33:27 UTC  

yuuuup

2018-10-06 13:33:31 UTC  

and when called out

2018-10-06 13:33:32 UTC  

she went

2018-10-06 13:33:35 UTC  

"its a conversation starter"

2018-10-06 13:33:43 UTC  

even the link on the graph disproves her claims

2018-10-06 13:33:48 UTC  

it was meant to look official

2018-10-06 13:33:48 UTC  

The usual excuse.

2018-10-06 13:34:00 UTC  

but no one will type out that url from the graphic

2018-10-06 13:35:11 UTC  

Note the date. This apparently got debunked in 2013.

2018-10-06 13:35:40 UTC  

The Enliven project looks to me like an activists' blog.

2018-10-06 13:36:33 UTC  
2018-10-06 13:36:46 UTC  

he warned us

2018-10-06 13:36:49 UTC  

and its only getting worse

2018-10-06 13:36:53 UTC  

and will only get worse

2018-10-06 13:39:37 UTC  

I think confirmation bias and the like has been known forever though.

2018-10-06 13:39:50 UTC  

And it's just as bad--if not worse--in places like Academia.

2018-10-06 13:40:51 UTC  

In the case of theenlivenproject, it appears to have changed to a YouTube channel and a new blog.

It looks much more professional, but appears to be the same person spearheading it all.

https://theuncomfortableconversation.org/

2018-10-06 13:43:48 UTC  

That's an interesting National Review article. Should be relatively straightforward to confirm if one has the data. And far more relevant to the Ford-Kavanaugh case than it may initially look given that the prosecutor the Republicans hired didn't think she could even get a search warrant.

2018-10-06 13:46:57 UTC  

It actually could be spun both ways by both parties too.

2018-10-06 13:47:35 UTC  

I don't get the obsession about the rate of false accusations anyway

2018-10-06 13:48:07 UTC  

It should always be a case to case basis, with the bases that the accused in innocent until proven guilty

2018-10-06 13:48:47 UTC  

The rate at which something happens should be entirely irrelevant