Message from @notaglobe

Discord ID: 692467390297931879


2020-03-25 20:10:21 UTC  

Controversial opinion

2020-03-25 20:11:23 UTC  

> Imperial people are the some of the best infectious disease modellers on the planet,” Paul Hunter at the University of East Anglia, UK, told New Scientist last week. “But it is risky to put all your eggs in a single basket.”

2020-03-25 20:12:58 UTC  

Seems unlikely that things will peak in a couple of weeks time tbh

2020-03-25 20:14:15 UTC  

why do you say that? it's been said consistently that we're a few weeks behind italy

2020-03-25 20:15:31 UTC  

italy is slowing somewhat

2020-03-25 20:15:34 UTC  

it seems

2020-03-25 20:15:38 UTC  

Italy still hasn't peaked and has been reporting about 5000 cases every day for over a week now

2020-03-25 20:15:45 UTC  

@Crafty if by "the peak" you mean the peak of the 1st phase, sure

2020-03-25 20:16:14 UTC  

someone on AAs stream yday was saying they don't think Italy is really like this

2020-03-25 20:16:18 UTC  

you would need to lockdown for 2 months

2020-03-25 20:16:22 UTC  

they think it's some attribution scam

2020-03-25 20:16:32 UTC  

I'm not sure there would be much of a country left after that

2020-03-25 20:16:35 UTC  

I don't even know if we can say that Italy is slowing down

2020-03-25 20:16:40 UTC  

i don't mean peak, the epidemiologist does

2020-03-25 20:16:44 UTC  

i just posted an article

2020-03-25 20:16:45 UTC  

could be due to a finite number of test kits

2020-03-25 20:16:53 UTC  

i'm not sure

2020-03-25 20:17:38 UTC  

What's an attribution scam

2020-03-25 20:17:51 UTC  

Italy's reports

2020-03-25 20:18:11 UTC  

I'm not making a claim that it is, but interesting idea

2020-03-25 20:18:18 UTC  

I've been following this since the start. I think this is merely the 1st wave. There's no immunity or way to reduce infections from spiking aside from lockdowns

2020-03-25 20:19:01 UTC  

there's also been reports of new mutations, and random young people dying really fast

2020-03-25 20:19:25 UTC  

prepare for the long term, there will be "no summer"

2020-03-25 20:19:42 UTC  

well the government has proven quite adaptable so far so if it turns out it's only the first peak

2020-03-25 20:19:48 UTC  

i'm sure they'll adapt

2020-03-25 20:20:00 UTC  

another lockdown i guess

2020-03-25 20:20:29 UTC  

> @faultfiction why couldn't the state encourage native births?
@Leohte
Ah so you morons want the state to intervene in births too. Peaking levels that haven't been discovered yet

2020-03-25 20:20:44 UTC  

businesses will not last, people and companies have rent to pay

2020-03-25 20:21:01 UTC  

Don't say 'you morons' if you're talking about Leohte please. he doesn't speak for everyone here

2020-03-25 20:21:02 UTC  

by a long shot

2020-03-25 20:21:20 UTC  

IIRC, the Imperial college of London report more or less says that we're going to need intermittent lockdown for the next 18 to 30 months

2020-03-25 20:21:48 UTC  

it would be more intelligent to fully lockdown for 2 months and close borders

2020-03-25 20:22:22 UTC  

in theory, in full isolation the virus dies in 1 month and a half, for the entire country

2020-03-25 20:22:54 UTC  

@₳ U T U M N 🦋 except the first peak is small, and the 2nd peak will doom you all

2020-03-25 20:22:57 UTC  

For some reason our borders are still open

2020-03-25 20:23:08 UTC  

The virus can live inside your body for 37 days

2020-03-25 20:23:21 UTC  

the confirmed max incubation is 3 weeks

2020-03-25 20:23:31 UTC  

99% of the cases it's 2 weeks

2020-03-25 20:23:35 UTC  

Why is the isolation period 7 days then?