Better than Romney or McCain, but if Trump ran against Obama, he would lose.

i disagree

i think he would have won

by taking the rust belt

Black people turned out in huge numbers to vote for Obama.

Obama received more votes in the Rust belt than Trump.

and they aren't hugely represented in Florida, Michigan and Ohio

Trump could win Florida over Obama, but not the rust belt.

the circumstances in 2008 and 2016 were a lot different

what decides the election is whhether there will be an economic crisis

exactly, people were tired of 8 years of neocon bs

What? Of course there are black people in Florida, Michigan, and Ohio.

Detroit is in Michigan.

not significantly enough to outright swing the states @Thomas O'Malley

Yes they can swing those states.

If black people couldn't vote, they would be red states, not purple states.

so 13% of US population decides every election?

asians and women too

It sounds crazy, but yes.

If Black Americans couldn't vote, Democrats would have lost every election in the past 50 years.

Republicans have lost the black vote for the last 50 years but have still been able to win

The last Democrat to win the white vote was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

and Hispanics are voting GOP more and more

Republicans have lost the Black vote for much longer than that.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=paX5xWNET8k

The last Republican to win the black vote was Herbert Hoover in 1932.

it's not that cut and dry

you are suffering of political determinism

Republicans could win from the 60s to the 90s because the country was still overwhelmingly white.

watch the video and then come back with the doom and gloom

Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton only were elected because they were Southern moderates.

i'm not making that up just to delude myself

Bush lost the popular vote in 2000 and barely won it in 2004 because of 9/11 and Iraq.

"More nonwhites will vote Republican" LOOOOOOOL!

that narrator guy has a good track record

predicting brexit, Trump, and EU's troubles

so i take what he says seriously

even if they are conservatives in their countries of origin they will vote for leftists here because they feel their policies are more welcoming. same shit happens with muslims in europe.

Jews earn like Episcopalians, and vote like Puerto Ricans.
—Milton Himmelfarb

Same for rich Blacks, Hispanics, and Asians.

you shuffle the deck, you maximize entropy, you experience thermodynamic and political death.