Message from @franti

Discord ID: 509061499256307728


2018-11-05 10:57:32 UTC  

You can't just call them shitholes you bigot ... unbelievable ...

2018-11-05 14:07:22 UTC  

can you hear the outcry from all the identitarianism calling out that racist? it deafening quiet isn't

2018-11-05 14:15:32 UTC  

why is it that most of the socalled democrat that claims that they are for the little guy live so far from the plebs that you think we are dealing with aristocrats from the middle ages

2018-11-05 14:57:39 UTC  

Because they're not for the little guy

2018-11-05 16:28:57 UTC  

Hell yeah, brother

2018-11-05 16:37:34 UTC  

It's interesting how a quiet young nerd has been talked up as an evil white nationalist frat bro

A literal Autist

He wouldn't know even if he did any work

2018-11-05 17:48:27 UTC  

The polls also werent wrong

2018-11-05 17:48:39 UTC  

Hillary won the popular vote by 2%

2018-11-05 17:48:48 UTC  

The forecasts were 3%

2018-11-05 17:49:13 UTC  

Also every swing state Trump won were all in the margin of error

2018-11-05 17:52:07 UTC  

Your point?

2018-11-05 17:52:19 UTC  

This is how statistics works

2018-11-05 17:52:38 UTC  

Are you going to pretend its either 50-50 or 100%

2018-11-05 17:52:41 UTC  

Because the house isn't by popular vote

2018-11-05 17:53:08 UTC  

We will see tomorow

2018-11-05 17:53:54 UTC  

So the electoral prediction that the media failed to get accurate is even more important this time.

2018-11-05 17:54:17 UTC  

Nate gave trump 30%

2018-11-05 17:54:41 UTC  

So yes there is a chance republicans will keep the house

2018-11-05 17:54:51 UTC  

This is how probability works

2018-11-05 17:55:31 UTC  

I give the repubs a 2/3 chance of taking the house by a small margin

2018-11-05 17:56:14 UTC  

Based upon my on the ground interactions with people

IF you are gunna paid that much and spout rubbish on the TV you gotta man up and put your balls on the line

2018-11-05 17:57:05 UTC  

Also, many of these polls are several WEEKS out of date

2018-11-05 18:02:17 UTC  

Even if the popular vote matteres. How does 1 to 3 percent equate to the polls saying she would win with 80 to 97 percent? Dude. Maths.

Also there was a way they took polls from many states and based on those polls they estimated the electoral college.

2018-11-05 18:04:57 UTC  

Also i fiund it ironic that with both the polls that wanted to stay relevent went from democrates way up until weeks before where they mystically got close.

Media polls are just as politicized as anything else. And are used to attempt to demoralize the other side.

2018-11-05 18:18:18 UTC  

That last point is key

2018-11-05 18:23:38 UTC  

You also know when they are politicizing it. Because the media will act with 100% confidence behind the polls. And then when the election comes close to ending and the polls grow closer so as to save some element of legitamacy, the media will start saying "well polls can be wrong."