Message from @Crafty

Discord ID: 641792366495399986


2019-11-07 00:04:27 UTC  

HAH

2019-11-07 00:05:08 UTC  

Brexit can work well within the US's favor and be bad for Russia

2019-11-07 00:05:10 UTC  

BUT

2019-11-07 00:05:59 UTC  

It would require the de facto break up or neutering of the EU.

2019-11-07 00:06:17 UTC  

Something which isn't going to happen in the near future.

2019-11-07 00:06:44 UTC  

If Brexit was the catalyist for that then the US would be in prime position to reassert its influence

2019-11-07 00:06:47 UTC  

Or China.

2019-11-07 00:06:54 UTC  

It won't be Russia xD

2019-11-07 00:08:09 UTC  

But it may releave pressure off of Russia, because of different bordering nation states.

2019-11-07 00:08:16 UTC  

I certainly think it will be China that benefits from Brexit the most. I suppose Russia might benefit in the short term, due to the economic fallout but not much.

2019-11-07 00:09:23 UTC  

In the long-term Brexit could start a chain of countries leaving the EU; though I think that is unlikely to happen. But a low possability

2019-11-07 00:09:49 UTC  

As you said it will releave some pressure on Russia certainly from the UK for a few years as we deal with Brexit and start to recover.

2019-11-07 00:09:59 UTC  

who's top of the list for next to leave

2019-11-07 00:10:51 UTC  

I'd imagine Greece and *potentially* Italy

2019-11-07 00:11:05 UTC  

i was gonna say italy but then i realized i dont actually know

2019-11-07 00:11:16 UTC  

Italeave

2019-11-07 00:11:22 UTC  

I imagine any chance of this happening will be certainly 10+ years from now

2019-11-07 00:11:31 UTC  

They will want to see what post-Brexit Britain is like and how we do

2019-11-07 00:12:39 UTC  

> A poll by the Pew Research Center in June 2016, before the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, found France to have a 61% unfavourable view of the EU, second only to Greece's 71%, with the United Kingdom on 48%.

2019-11-07 00:13:04 UTC  

Oh, I didn't realise it was that high in France

2019-11-07 00:13:44 UTC  

> However, when asked about an actual departure from the EU, 45% of French wanted to stay in the bloc while 33% expressed a desire to leave.[2] The figure in favour of remaining increased to 60% in a subsequent poll in 2019.

2019-11-07 00:13:46 UTC  

Italy is the serious one.

2019-11-07 00:13:57 UTC  

Greece cannot even. Its a joke.

2019-11-07 00:14:34 UTC  

Madame Frexit

2019-11-07 00:14:36 UTC  

Le Pen

2019-11-07 00:14:57 UTC  

Italy has been on the raw end of European politics in general for multiple generations now, and specifically was on the raw end of the Euro.

2019-11-07 00:15:15 UTC  

> In a January 2018 interview with the BBC, President of France Emmanuel Macron agreed with Andrew Marr that the French people were equally disenchanted with globalisation and if presented with a simple yes / no response to such a complex question, they would "probably" have voted for Frexit in the same circumstances.

2019-11-07 00:16:56 UTC  

The US SHOULD, be doing everything in its power to fuck the EU into dissilution.

2019-11-07 00:17:11 UTC  

But that takes a shift of mind within washington.

2019-11-07 00:17:16 UTC  

I think Greece would benefit from a Grexit, since they would have more controls over their monetary policy meaning they can be more agressive in needed changes.

2019-11-07 00:17:46 UTC  

Only the Pentagon seriously oppose the EU and the rest of Washington take the view of tepid support to outright strong support...

2019-11-07 00:17:46 UTC  

That requires competency in Washington, something which is currently lacking

2019-11-07 00:18:23 UTC  

Also it would require Greece not to be a joke pretend nation kept alive by strategic subsidization.

2019-11-07 00:18:59 UTC  

Funnily enough, Greece leaving the EU will bring them closer to China

2019-11-07 00:19:37 UTC  

<:pepelaugh:544857300179877898>

2019-11-07 00:19:41 UTC  

China will make the port of Piraeus look like a playground

2019-11-07 00:19:42 UTC  

@2K ^^

2019-11-07 00:19:51 UTC  

Unless the US subsidizes their navy

2019-11-07 00:20:17 UTC  

Fuck their navy, the US would need to subsidise their economy

2019-11-07 00:20:41 UTC  

The US would be competing with China in how much investment they can pour into the country, if they want control over Greece